NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f062232223a91de99545b6a4e478625f5b1eed42ca15531842b3ccf795537de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $774,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $791,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 47c | 513,397$241,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,301.6 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 53c | 300,000$159,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,999.98 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 54c | 215,418$116,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,430.44 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 53c | 65,192$34,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,551.83 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 53c | 51,692$27,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,396.57 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 46,775$24,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,790.86 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 46c | 22,000$10,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,980 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 54c | 8,423$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 7,609$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.7 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 7,049$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 5,437$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.84 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…c6b5backed Over | 46c | 3,708$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 55c | 3,279$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 3,225$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.49 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,481$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.5 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 2,319$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 46c | 2,137$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.97 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 2,034$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.37 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 46c | 1,691$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.16 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 46c | 1,613$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.18 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 1,296$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.84 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 46c | 978.72$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.51 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 55c | 693.55$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.45 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 47c | 479.4$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 46c | 462$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Over | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 430.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 392.07$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 46c | 366.52$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 54c | 352.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 46c | 320$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 292.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 45c | 291.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 46c | 241.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Over | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 46c | 213.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 46c | 206.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Over | 46c | 198.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 46c | 191.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under | 54c | 176.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Over | 46c | 169$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 167.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 46c | 164$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 54c | 161.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed Over | 46c | 160.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…3beebacked Over | 46c | 158.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 46c | 153$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 46c | 153$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 45c | 145.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Over | 46c | 133.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Over | 47c | 131.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6c18backed Under | 54c | 128.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…6ecbbacked Over | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 46c | 122.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Over | 46c | 122.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 47c | 122$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…5998backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 46c | 119$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…77dabacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…371bbacked Over | 46c | 104.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…2e07backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…9954backed Over | 46c | 99.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 97.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 46c | 96.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…489dbacked Over | 46c | 87.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5this page
- Capitals vs. DevilsDevils won
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Devils won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.