MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b535c3bb13965c181284a29de57c976e60895bc0a020fe483a50f3bc573c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 64,897$29,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,940.61 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 62,690$28,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,404.19 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 48,566$26,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,417.96 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 41,794$28,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,656.61 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 36,457$19,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,680.28 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 20,097$11,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,042.84 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 18,165$8,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.2 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 11,454$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,257.32 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 10,909$6,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.5 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 10,080$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.97 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 10,039$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.29 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 9,168$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.92 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…5944backed Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 6,667$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 6,518$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.66 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 6,211$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.12 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 4,745$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.42 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 4,600$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 4,536$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.26 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 4,423$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.23 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 4,294$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.92 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 4,207$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.2 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,907$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,812$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.01 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…6a19backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 3,460$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 3,148$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.56 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,919$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.55 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 2,884$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.43 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,753$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.67 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 2,655$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 2,515$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.36 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 2,311$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 2,294$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.01 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,289$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.1 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,196$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,136$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.06 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.6 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.6 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 2,051$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.02 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,030$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.23 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,994$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 1,986$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.05 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,684$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.47 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…3b1cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,666$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 1,636$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.36 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,556$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.33 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.98 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 1,495$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.66 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,472$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.32 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,343$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.64 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 1,293$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.68 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,212$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.35 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,200$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,191$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.79 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 1,162$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.61 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,145$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.33 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,145$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.39 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,032$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.47 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 1,025$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.47 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,013$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.1 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,000$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 997.2$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.06 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 986.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 962.48$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.74 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 956.75$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 955.11$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 954.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 944.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 896.89$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 882.36$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 825.11$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 821.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 730.34$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.65 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 711.81$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.31 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 707.35$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 697.61$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.21 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 681.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 645.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 645.19$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…5c8cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 640.95$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 622.72$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.22 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 600$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 570.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 547.49$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.38 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 547.45$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 535.25$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.22 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 525.42$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 513.1$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 504.81$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…96fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 500.85$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 498.53$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 497.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 482.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.