MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc22ba53bec5af305d7895aacef2601a280119ee5f3c2d51c8c824079ab0d191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 34,580$17,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,289.86 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 32,554$16,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,277.1 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 51c | 8,482$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.12 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 50c | 8,449$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.35 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 4,985$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.06 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 4,483$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.51 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 1c | 4,139$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Under | 48c | 3,422$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.83 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 53c | 2,332$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.19 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 51c | 2,272$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.16 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,942$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.96 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.58 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 49c | 1,360$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.52 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 51c | 1,142$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.38 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 891.34$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.27 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 43c | 843.26$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.22 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Under | 2c | 839.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 812.11$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.04 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 713.04$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.78 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 50c | 685.78$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.89 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 71c | 570.7$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 502.18$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 62c | 458.38$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 52c | 456.23$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.24 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 50c | 416$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 34c | 405.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Under | 51c | 381.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 378.53$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 47c | 374.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.51 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 48c | 336.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 312$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 301.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.19 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 51c | 294.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 259.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Under | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 51c | 142.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 135.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 47c | 127.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 66c | 120.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 52c | 116.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 21c | 109.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 53c | 104.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 51c | 101.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 51c | 100.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…76ccbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Under | 50c | 85.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 51c | 85.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 77c | 78.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 49c | 77.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Under | 49c | 76.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…c84abacked Under | 50c | 56.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 51c | 56.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 55.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Over | 52c | 54.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 53.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81f…eed2backed Under | 50c | 48.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 51c | 47.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 47.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Under | 51c | 47.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 60c | 46.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 61c | 45.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 39c | 44.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 43.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…bbffbacked Under | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under | 49c | 38.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 35c | 34.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Over | 50c | 33.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 48c | 33.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 70c | 30.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 51c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 48c | 28.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 50c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…16d1backed Under | 49c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…4632backed Over | 50c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 48c | 21.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 71c | 14.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.