TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Under50c34,580$17,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,289.868856.8%50 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c32,554$16,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,277.11,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under51c8,482$4,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,325.1254152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over50c8,449$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.355862.1%36 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75047953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c4,985$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.061,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c4,483$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.511,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under1c4,139$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.392,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861a…1f15backed Under48c3,422$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.834259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over53c2,332$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.1912551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over51c2,272$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.1628850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c1,942$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.961,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under53c1,458$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.582,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over49c1,360$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.5256851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under51c1,142$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.385337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c891.34$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.272,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Over43c843.26$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.2248850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Under2c839.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6639.5%6 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c812.11$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.041,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over48c713.04$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7824350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Under50c685.78$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.896437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under71c570.7$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.24,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c502.18$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.686,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over62c458.38$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.983,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under52c456.23$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.247750.6%39 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c416$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under34c405.39$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7616132.3%52 W · 109 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Under51c381.51$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.112552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c378.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.481,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over47c374.55$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.514146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3694034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over48c336.7$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.098360.2%50 W · 33 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over62c312$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.776,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over50c301.76$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.191,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15498.2%4 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+173.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under51c294.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9918649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c259.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.695,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.944257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92cd…9740backed Under48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Under51c142.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.256051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c135.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.271,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over47c127.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.549649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under66c120.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0482551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under52c116.34$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7115858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over21c109.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7755464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Under53c104.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0751555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over51c101.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9411450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under51c100.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.019058.9%53 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1852…76ccbacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.510262.7%64 W · 38 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Under50c85.36$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6831250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over51c85.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7679543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over77c78.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1542241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under49c77.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.229047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Under49c76.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.712254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.251,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4479…c84abacked Under50c56.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.391450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Under51c56.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.715657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c55.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Under53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc3backed Over52c54.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.362857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under49c53.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2261352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa81f…eed2backed Under50c48.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under51c47.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4510356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c47.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.925249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Under51c47.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2813260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under60c46.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.292,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under61c45.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0324554.7%134 W · 111 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.151,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over39c44.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.771,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c43.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.931,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.135341.1%145 W · 208 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa20d…eadebacked Under49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3920446.6%95 W · 109 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x409b…bbffbacked Under51c38.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.422650.4%114 W · 112 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under49c38.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4118751.9%97 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over35c34.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.366,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Over50c33.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.687055.7%39 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Over48c33.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3210449%51 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under70c30.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1816261.1%99 W · 63 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under51c29.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2426753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.559147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Under48c28.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5689950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under50c25.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b1…16d1backed Under49c24.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbc…4632backed Over50c23.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.764057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under48c21.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1713353.4%71 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under50c20.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0315650%78 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under75c19.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7878146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under71c14.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.