MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e391dd0668ff341ec819352fb87d0d7fbc9f526849900626995123185d3e9c6

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Padresof Seattle Mariners, San Diego Padres
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,292,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,322,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,292,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Seattle Mariners	30c	423,623$125,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125,610.05	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed San Diego Padres	48c	179,622$86,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93,403.54	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Diego Padres	63c	136,968$86,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,840.65	310	39%121 W · 189 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Seattle Mariners	52c	99,366$51,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,670.19	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres	73c	94,074$68,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,348.72	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked San Diego Padres	48c	87,081$42,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,046.83	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners	52c	53,513$27,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,826.82	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners	52c	37,109$19,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,296.46	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked San Diego Padres	48c	33,846$16,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,599.69	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Padres	75c	31,888$24,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,871.53	1,355	49.8%675 W · 680 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego Padres	62c	26,754$16,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,041.51	856	35.7%306 W · 550 L	-24.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…e677backed San Diego Padres	49c	23,332$11,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,899.19	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+90.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego Padres	65c	19,663$12,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,869.95	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+11.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Seattle Mariners	53c	18,235$9,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,719.82	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners	51c	15,915$8,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,155.26	650	50.3%327 W · 323 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres	80c	14,397$11,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,899.6	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Seattle Mariners	24c	13,877$3,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,365.7	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners	52c	13,499$6,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,960.2	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Seattle Mariners	52c	12,000$6,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,239.99	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Seattle Mariners	55c	11,676$6,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,416.14	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Seattle Mariners	2c	10,140$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.45	333	28.2%94 W · 239 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners	52c	10,085$5,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,244.12	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres	71c	10,036$7,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,947.69	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Mariners	49c	9,938$4,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,846.3	350	56%196 W · 154 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners	52c	9,662$4,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,979.22	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Seattle Mariners	51c	9,189$4,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,686.59	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Seattle Mariners	13c	9,000$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170	167	25.1%42 W · 125 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres	75c	8,926$6,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,239.47	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked San Diego Padres	49c	8,288$4,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,227.07	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed San Diego Padres	48c	7,872$3,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,093.18	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Seattle Mariners	53c	7,794$4,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,130.73	178	53.4%95 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4b…ff07backed Seattle Mariners	52c	7,717$4,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,013.08	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres	73c	5,013$3,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,329.72	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Seattle Mariners	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Seattle Mariners	51c	4,942$2,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,540.05	1,078	48.1%518 W · 560 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Seattle Mariners	37c	4,663$1,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,732.12	110	57.3%63 W · 47 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Seattle Mariners	4c	4,625$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.49	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked San Diego Padres	76c	4,382$3,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.75	1,041	50.1%522 W · 519 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres	48c	4,061$1,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,123.65	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Seattle Mariners	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,079.99	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.92	1,408	48.8%687 W · 721 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres	49c	3,590$1,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,845.35	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners	25c	3,476$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.9	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Seattle Mariners	51c	3,127$1,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,595.01	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Seattle Mariners	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners	52c	2,999$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.63	454	51.3%233 W · 221 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Seattle Mariners	52c	2,945$1,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,531.49	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners	34c	2,759$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.57	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Seattle Mariners	39c	2,717$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.74	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners	18c	2,687$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.32	2,044	39.5%808 W · 1,236 L	-24.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe9…0382backed San Diego Padres	75c	2,652$1,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.12	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners	3c	2,650$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.23	1,180	7.2%85 W · 1,095 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97f…d860backed Seattle Mariners	53c	2,560$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Seattle Mariners	52c	2,393$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.33	277	53.1%147 W · 130 L	+10.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Seattle Mariners	14c	2,303$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.46	85	15.3%13 W · 72 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Seattle Mariners	22c	2,081$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.09	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked San Diego Padres	48c	2,018$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.54	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed San Diego Padres	48c	2,018$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.53	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Seattle Mariners	52c	2,003$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.36	132	54.5%72 W · 60 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	338	52.7%178 W · 160 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Seattle Mariners	45c	1,965$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.47	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…773abacked Seattle Mariners	12c	1,963$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.39	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-43%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked San Diego Padres	49c	1,943$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.1	262	57.3%150 W · 112 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Seattle Mariners	10c	1,931$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.18	141	34%48 W · 93 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked San Diego Padres	68c	1,866$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.86	609	41.4%252 W · 357 L	-22.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed San Diego Padres	50c	1,786$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.97	206	47.1%97 W · 109 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners	52c	1,678$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.5	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres	47c	1,645$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.75	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Diego Padres	77c	1,568$1,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.84	1,947	53.1%1,033 W · 914 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres	67c	1,541$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.15	1,153	42.8%494 W · 659 L	-37.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked San Diego Padres	50c	1,492$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.03	86	43%37 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners	54c	1,458$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.66	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners	20c	1,398$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.53	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres	79c	1,373$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.81	2,149	50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed Seattle Mariners	45c	1,320$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.36	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b0…a72abacked San Diego Padres	49c	1,318$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.97	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked San Diego Padres	52c	1,301$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.02	152	43.4%66 W · 86 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed San Diego Padres	76c	1,298$986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.55	252	66.3%167 W · 85 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked San Diego Padres	49c	1,293$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.33	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked San Diego Padres	54c	1,257$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.53	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f5…ab8cbacked Seattle Mariners	15c	1,257$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.61	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Seattle Mariners	52c	1,202$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.99	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres	53c	1,201$632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.15	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Seattle Mariners	51c	1,199$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.48	198	42.9%85 W · 113 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres	49c	1,174$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.82	900	53.6%482 W · 418 L	+24.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ff…6754backed San Diego Padres	70c	1,062$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.61	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Seattle Mariners	52c	1,051$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.5	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked San Diego Padres	48c	1,040$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.77	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Seattle Mariners	26c	1,030$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.02	554	64.1%355 W · 199 L	+63.1wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Seattle Mariners	7c	1,028$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.96	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres	48c	1,009$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.77	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+7.7wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2430…4527backed San Diego Padres	48c	1,009$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.77	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed San Diego Padres	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	126	40.5%51 W · 75 L	-12.2wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Seattle Mariners	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Seattle Mariners	15c	999.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	591	50.3%297 W · 294 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked San Diego Padres	49c	969.4$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.39	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Seattle Mariners	8c	966.42$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.11	145	35.9%52 W · 93 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Seattle Mariners	49c	953.92$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.5	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed San Diego Padres	79c	927.69$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.86	555	41.4%230 W · 325 L	-26.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked San Diego Padres	49c	890.27$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.04	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresthis page
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego PadresNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event