MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbda3dffbe0748047e13b3e489e35b76ffd8abff8d192247bfff369e9d97c841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 65,464$33,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,341.62 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 40,833$20,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,008.34 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 50c | 20,370$10,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,185.79 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 14,251$7,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.11 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 10,220$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314.39 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 10,063$4,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,953.15 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 9,957$4,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.67 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 8,385$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.79 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 7,979$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.61 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 49c | 4,155$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.83 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 53c | 4,073$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.73 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 3,668$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.88 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Over | 48c | 2,989$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 2,435$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.22 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 2,300$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.92 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 1,860$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.38 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 1,611$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.73 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 49c | 1,518$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.96 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.02 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.72 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 53c | 1,107$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.54 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 1,088$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.09 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 42c | 1,077$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.03 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 52c | 1,045$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.15 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 50c | 999.76$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.54 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 980.96$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 60c | 516.77$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 490.02$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 471.91$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.19 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Over | 52c | 467.01$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 408.15$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 63c | 348.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 52c | 335.84$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 72c | 310.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.58 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 79c | 301.51$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 58c | 298.3$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 31c | 287.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.43 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 51c | 284.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Under | 52c | 252.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 52c | 222.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 219.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 204.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over | 43c | 202.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 200.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Under | 49c | 194.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Over | 51c | 193.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 33c | 191.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 169.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e89…7880backed Over | 50c | 165.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 49c | 164.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Over | 52c | 149.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 148.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 59c | 134.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 130.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 130.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 129.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 52c | 128.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 52c | 128.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 120.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 49c | 117.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Under | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 61c | 110.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 50c | 102.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 49c | 99.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 53c | 96.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 57c | 89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…e85fbacked Under | 49c | 87.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 50c | 85.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Under | 51c | 84.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 82.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…4ea2backed Under | 51c | 75.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 52c | 74.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 58c | 62.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd787…9eddbacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 50c | 57.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…9898backed Over | 52c | 55.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…db92backed Under | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 49c | 51.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 35c | 51.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5f…e3c6backed Under | 49c | 47.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Over | 52c | 44.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 49c | 44.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 54c | 44.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.