NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0957f49968709d1de9c0eb917ef7e9334b44378e439bc257516360136104694c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Cavaliers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Jazz | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 13,894$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015.29 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 50c | 13,311$6,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,646.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Jazz | 50c | 11,927$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,016.6 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 49c | 6,004$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,474$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.05 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Jazz | 50c | 2,500$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Jazz | 51c | 1,928$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.2 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,381$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.49 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz | 51c | 1,139$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.9 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.04 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 985$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 758.71$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.97 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 51c | 644.17$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Jazz | 51c | 562.97$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.77 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 47c | 555.33$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.65 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…98e1backed Cavaliers | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 435.1$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.69 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 310.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 302$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 298.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Cavaliers | 50c | 270.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cavaliers | 50c | 239.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 225.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Cavaliers | 9c | 222.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…59e2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 199.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Jazz | 51c | 197.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 197.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Cavaliers | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Jazz | 50c | 195.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 193.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 179.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Cavaliers | 50c | 174.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Jazz | 54c | 165.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Cavaliers | 48c | 164.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Jazz | 51c | 162.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 161.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 161$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Jazz | 51c | 148.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Cavaliers | 50c | 139.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 137.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Cavaliers | 50c | 131.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Cavaliers | 50c | 118.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 50c | 110.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 107.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 106.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 102.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Jazz | 51c | 99.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Cavaliers | 50c | 99.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Cavaliers | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Cavaliers | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 98.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 90.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 90.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Jazz | 51c | 88.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Cavaliers | 55c | 79.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 78.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers | 47c | 72.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Cavaliers | 23c | 69.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb682…2d79backed Cavaliers | 52c | 69.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 43.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Jazz | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…ab1fbacked Jazz | 51c | 38.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…b709backed Jazz | 53c | 37.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Jazz | 51c | 37.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Jazz | 51c | 35.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cavaliers | 49c | 34.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Cavaliers | 42c | 33.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e47…32bfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 33.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 32.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Cavaliers | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Jazz | 49c | 29.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Jazz | 51c | 29.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Cavaliers | 50c | 29.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Jazz | 51c | 28.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…f2e3backed Jazz | 51c | 26.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 26.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…c2b6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 23.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Jazz | 51c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. JazzCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.