TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Cavaliers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed Jazz50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Cavaliers50c13,894$7,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,015.2938251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers50c13,311$6,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,646.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Jazz50c11,927$5,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,016.672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers49c6,004$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Cavaliers50c3,474$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.0527546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Jazz50c2,500$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Cavaliers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9921653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Jazz51c1,928$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.264944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Cavaliers50c1,381$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.492065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz51c1,139$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.92,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Cavaliers49c1,008$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.049558.9%56 W · 39 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers50c985$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.562948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers49c758.71$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.971,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz51c644.17$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Jazz51c562.97$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.7716139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers47c555.33$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.651,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9e…98e1backed Cavaliers45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.51080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers49c435.1$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.691,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers47c310.89$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.125,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers50c302$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Cavaliers50c298.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Cavaliers50c270.32$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Cavaliers50c239.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8757444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Cavaliers50c225.54$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6713349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Cavaliers9c222.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d5…59e2backed Cavaliers48c199.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Jazz51c197.44$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7516242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cavaliers50c197.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Cavaliers50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Cavaliers50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.537852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Cavaliers50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.543447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Jazz50c195.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5233748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Cavaliers51c193.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5514243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Cavaliers50c179.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9914640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Cavaliers50c174.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1717551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x430a…a940backed Jazz54c165.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.481942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Cavaliers48c164.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Jazz51c162.53$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.649545.3%43 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Cavaliers52c161.73$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7817547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Cavaliers43c161$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4462047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Jazz51c148.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8849852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Cavaliers50c139.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9419348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Cavaliers50c137.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.955147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Cavaliers50c131.83$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6687744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Cavaliers50c118.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.117953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers50c110.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.353,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cavaliers50c107.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Cavaliers49c106.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1334247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Cavaliers50c102.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3750948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Jazz51c99.91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9633360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Cavaliers50c99.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8441449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Cavaliers50c98.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Cavaliers50c98.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Cavaliers50c98.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.237248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Cavaliers50c90.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1753348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Cavaliers50c90.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1713541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Jazz51c88.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5382440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Cavaliers55c79.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.845520%11 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers48c78.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers47c72.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.871,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Cavaliers23c69.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.691,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb682…2d79backed Cavaliers52c69.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.156157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Cavaliers50c43.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5616948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Jazz50c39.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.733251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3080…ab1fbacked Jazz51c38.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.923647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9210…b709backed Jazz53c37.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.916746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jazz51c37.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.351,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Jazz51c35.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5519357.5%111 W · 82 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Cavaliers49c34.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7725641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x635b…1013backed Cavaliers42c33.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.154654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e47…32bfbacked Cavaliers50c33.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.682560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Cavaliers50c32.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1236949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers51c30.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.463,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Cavaliers40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Jazz49c29.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.151,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Jazz51c29.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4811243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Cavaliers50c29.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.787544%33 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca22…71a0backed Jazz51c28.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.27153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a41…f2e3backed Jazz51c26.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Cavaliers50c26.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2937853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac3…c2b6backed Cavaliers50c23.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.732425%6 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Jazz51c20.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1214555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.