NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb3b19340efb0225ad8e76437e3a399e6429bed58991161b783f4bcf88af9c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 347,043$180,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,417.53 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 46c | 45,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.95 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 41,271$19,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,460.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 54c | 41,266$22,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,055.69 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 29,985$15,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,283.12 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 0c | 28,879$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 48c | 10,891$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,663.11 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34b…3b60backed Over | 52c | 10,237$5,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 52c | 9,700$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 9,375$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 49c | 8,194$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.76 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 7,742$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 7,237$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.76 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Over | 46c | 4,595$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.47 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 4,540$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.71 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 4,020$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.42 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 49c | 4,020$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.42 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 48c | 3,961$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 3,941$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.88 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 3,913$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.38 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 3,182$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.55 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 46c | 2,227$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.04 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 1,985$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.39 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 51c | 1,931$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.01 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 41c | 1,756$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.76 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 60c | 1,590$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.69 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 1,589$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.17 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 1,130$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.01 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,127$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 51c | 993.86$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.68 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Under | 50c | 992.94$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.44 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 885.56$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 846.74$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.44 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 788$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 46c | 779.46$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.75 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 764.36$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 675.74$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 635.2$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 49c | 606.44$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 600.08$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.04 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 593.94$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 49c | 581.35$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.7 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 484.42$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 36c | 443.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 52c | 438.81$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 47c | 434.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 52c | 426.21$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.63 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 51c | 408.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Under | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 46c | 370.15$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 54c | 368.01$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 366.6$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over | 52c | 363.7$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 47c | 333.24$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 45c | 329.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 51c | 327.44$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 49c | 321.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 299.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 49c | 295.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 49c | 293.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 49c | 292.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 291.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 47c | 272.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 48c | 262.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 262.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 54c | 247.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Over | 47c | 246.26$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 54c | 241.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 51c | 235.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 23c | 230.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 47c | 229.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 45c | 221.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 49c | 221.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 47c | 213.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Over | 46c | 211.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 47c | 206.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Over | 47c | 206.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 205.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 199.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 50c | 197$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 50c | 195.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over | 51c | 193.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 50c | 190.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Under | 52c | 188.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…68bebacked Over | 52c | 187.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Under | 54c | 182.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 181.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Under | 50c | 153.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 53c | 146$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed Under | 50c | 141.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 49c | 140.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 135.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 51c | 131.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. JazzCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.