NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98473898a5dafb7efa84c82d0a02555e585489e8c840b3c25a6a0bfd5f6c97b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 323,393$160,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,593.99 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 101,014$51,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,537.2 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34b…3b60backed Over | 50c | 61,980$30,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,941.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 50c | 57,795$28,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,897.38 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 55,023$27,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,497.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 7,108$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.7 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 6,922$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 6,289$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.51 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 4,381$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Over | 49c | 4,253$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 3,598$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 2,931$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.38 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 2,388$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.47 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 52c | 1,980$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.54 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,677$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 53c | 1,597$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.33 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 54c | 917.5$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Under | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…7654backed Under | 54c | 706.04$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 48c | 679.67$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 596.1$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Under | 52c | 562.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…d963backed Over | 50c | 562.09$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…61e8backed Under | 52c | 456.59$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 418.7$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 48c | 327.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 52c | 321.14$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 52c | 295.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 50c | 295.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 53c | 291.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Under | 52c | 278.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 268.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 51c | 261.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 53c | 208.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 49c | 201.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 49c | 201.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 199.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 52c | 193.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 53c | 166.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 52c | 165.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 163.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 50c | 161.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 53c | 152.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Under | 53c | 149.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…6333backed Over | 41c | 144$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 52c | 142.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed Under | 52c | 142.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 133.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 50c | 108.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 98.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 48c | 97.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 96.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 47c | 95.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 53c | 93.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 49c | 79.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…0fa7backed Under | 51c | 79.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Under | 52c | 78.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 52c | 78.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…30b6backed Under | 65c | 76.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 52c | 75.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 25c | 72.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 49c | 67.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 52c | 65.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 48c | 64.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 61.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Over | 49c | 59.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 51c | 54.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 49c | 54.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Under | 59c | 50.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 50.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 50.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 49c | 50.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Under | 50c | 49.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0d…7822backed Under | 52c | 47.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077b…b0b6backed Under | 52c | 47.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 45.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 45.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 43.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 39.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 36.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 51c | 36.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 36.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 50c | 34.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 52c | 33.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed Over | 49c | 32.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. JazzCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.