TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$441,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$443,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c323,393$160,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,593.9987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under50c150,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under51c101,014$51,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,537.266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe34b…3b60backed Over50c61,980$30,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,941.961346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under50c57,795$28,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,897.3816039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c55,023$27,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,497.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under50c13,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c7,108$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.71,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c6,922$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under51c6,289$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,081.5140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c4,381$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a0…cec6backed Over49c4,253$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c3,598$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.162,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under51c2,931$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.3838750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under47c2,388$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.473,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under52c1,980$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.5415849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,677$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.993,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under53c1,597$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Under54c917.5$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.967337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under49c799.99$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4084050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Under54c706.04$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over48c679.67$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2447856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c596.1$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Under52c562.45$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.984946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae2…d963backed Over50c562.09$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Under52c456.59$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.161850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c418.7$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.011,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c327.23$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under52c321.14$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6811855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under52c295.5$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8518055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c295.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7525846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under53c291.11$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.241,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Under52c278.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.814042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c268.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.111,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under51c261.45$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0316139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under53c208.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2210270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over49c201.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over49c201.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.543447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c199.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.511,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under52c193.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7421550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.421347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under53c166.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3213751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under52c165.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5715253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over49c163.6$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.381,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under50c161.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9328643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under53c152.03$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2515453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under53c149.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.610656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa739…6333backed Over41c144$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under52c142.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1921753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Under52c142.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.194146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c133.08$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over50c108.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1811354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.548146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over48c98.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over48c97.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9963353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under51c96.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3266046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over47c95.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9119348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under53c93.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0517155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Over49c79.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.196960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d12…0fa7backed Under51c79.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Under52c78.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8216551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under52c78.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8215562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d45…30b6backed Under65c76.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under52c75.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1417651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Under50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.516948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Under25c72.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.520547.8%98 W · 107 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over49c67.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9829556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under52c65.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6832148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over48c64.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0724841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c61.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.453,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da7…762abacked Over49c59.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.972850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under51c54.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9625245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over49c54.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7922349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3d…6542backed Under59c50.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.935042%21 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c50.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7153453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c50.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.73,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over49c50.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.639552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under51c49.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4948852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Under50c49.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9812949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0d…7822backed Under52c47.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.732157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077b…b0b6backed Under52c47.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.732576%19 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c45.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over49c45.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4155444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c43.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.781,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c39.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c39.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over48c36.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under51c36.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.841,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c36.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.561,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over50c34.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2432752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Over52c33.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.289938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x610b…e158backed Over49c32.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.763046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.