NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe89eb5f014852775d0f488bc952470bc179f0e2fdb38c968f0abc3d014e92ff6

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Cavaliers, Jazz
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $92,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,275 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf988…d63bbacked Cavaliers	48c	12,063$5,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,790.04	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers	48c	8,451$4,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,056.29	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Cavaliers	46c	6,000$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,759.85	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Jazz	53c	5,957$3,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,802.9	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9862…9f3dbacked Jazz	52c	5,346$2,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,565.91	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz	60c	4,596$2,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,829.92	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeaa…2ddfbacked Jazz	52c	3,599$1,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,727.58	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers	41c	3,026$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230.82	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	47c	2,762$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.35	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x273e…d054backed Jazz	52c	2,538$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.47	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Jazz	52c	2,356$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.97	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Jazz	52c	2,305$1,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,106.38	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz	53c	2,210$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.84	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Cavaliers	47c	1,992$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.24	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Jazz	52c	1,816$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.49	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Jazz	52c	1,556$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.93	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jazz	49c	1,525$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.72	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	34c	1,468$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.85	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Jazz	53c	1,338$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.72	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	52c	1,278$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.89	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Jazz	53c	1,180$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.53	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Jazz	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.2	186	51.6%96 W · 90 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Jazz	52c	1,015$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.36	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd5…b74abacked Jazz	52c	912.76$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.13	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	50cpaid	+65.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Jazz	53c	908.39$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.94	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers	51c	891.43$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.63	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Jazz	53c	882.83$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.93	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-6.9wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers	48c	820.85$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.01	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Jazz	63c	788.21$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.23	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Jazz	52c	788.02$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.25	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x430a…a940backed Jazz	58c	741.38$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.72	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Cavaliers	48c	673$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.04	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Cavaliers	43c	576$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.68	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Jazz	54c	547.28$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.75	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cavaliers	48c	538.18$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.33	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz	52c	530.79$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.17	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Cavaliers	48c	513.03$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.26	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Cavaliers	18c	505.29$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.71	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers	38c	473.1$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.82	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be5…603dbacked Cavaliers	24c	471.9$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.46	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x100c…1c2cbacked Cavaliers	47c	464.29$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.85	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Jazz	52c	430.57$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.67	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers	47c	424$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.28	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Cavaliers	47c	424$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.28	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Cavaliers	47c	399.99$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.99	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Cavaliers	48c	399.92$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Jazz	53c	397.95$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.04	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Cavaliers	48c	387.73$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.06	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Cavaliers	47c	331.8$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.95	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Cavaliers	48c	303.5$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.68	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Cavaliers	48c	302.4$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.15	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Cavaliers	48c	300.43$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.21	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Cavaliers	48c	299.61$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.81	109	43.1%47 W · 62 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Cavaliers	48c	294.31$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.21	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers	5c	264.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.04	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Jazz	49c	259.95$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.7	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Cavaliers	48c	259.06$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.35	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jazz	52c	256.27$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.01	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Cavaliers	48c	246.26$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.2	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers	41c	245.24$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.55	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Cavaliers	48c	240.35$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.37	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Cavaliers	49c	234.97$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.14	164	50%82 W · 82 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Cavaliers	48c	227.79$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.34	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	47c	217.57$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.26	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz	53c	216.39$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.92	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Cavaliers	48c	212.77$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.13	223	51.6%115 W · 108 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Cavaliers	49c	212.76$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.25	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Cavaliers	47c	211.25$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.29	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cavaliers	47c	202.95$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.39	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	47c	202.06$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.24	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Cavaliers	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	288	52.1%150 W · 138 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Jazz	53c	185.86$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.35	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Jazz	53c	185.86$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.35	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Jazz	54c	182.43$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.92	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Jazz	51c	178.1$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.15	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Cavaliers	48c	177.73$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.51	280	56.4%158 W · 122 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Cavaliers	18c	163.81$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Cavaliers	49c	161.54$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.16	187	44.4%83 W · 104 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Cavaliers	49c	156.94$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.9	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Cavaliers	48c	154$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.92	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Cavaliers	48c	152.68$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.29	200	40%80 W · 120 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Cavaliers	48c	152.68$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.29	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Cavaliers	47c	150.71$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.84	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Cavaliers	47c	141.54$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.93	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers	35c	139.94$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.18	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Cavaliers	47c	129.04$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.65	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Cavaliers	27c	124.89$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-8.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers	46c	123.84$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.97	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Cavaliers	48c	122.14$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.63	162	45.1%73 W · 89 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Cavaliers	46c	112.75$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.87	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Cavaliers	53c	111.9$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.1	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Cavaliers	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Cavaliers	48c	102.61$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.25	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	50c	99.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.86	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Cavaliers	50c	98.5$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.25	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz	53c	97.98$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.05	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Cavaliers	48c	93.58$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.92	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Cavaliers	48c	93.58$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.92	293	52.9%155 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Cavaliers	39c	87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.93	203	49.3%100 W · 103 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers	30c	84.28$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. JazzCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5No won
Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Jazz won
Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)Jazz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event