MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97f143f5166d29d3c29deae347ae24e5c0cb563fbcf98562e2c464b1323d3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 48c | 45,659$21,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,916.22 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 13,401$6,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,432.18 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 10,681$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.29 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 5,395$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.5 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 5,386$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.25 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 52c | 4,805$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.19 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 4,457$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.17 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 3,393$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Under | 51c | 3,390$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 2,697$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.74 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 2,697$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.74 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 2,697$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.57 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 2,470$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.99 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 2,032$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.58 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 52c | 1,836$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.24 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 1,824$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.8 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,390$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.99 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,388$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 1,084$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under | 9c | 1,079$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 44c | 1,071$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.24 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 51c | 987.76$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.76 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Under | 51c | 963.09$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 939.98$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.17 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 840.94$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.56 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 42c | 646.85$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 621.18$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 53c | 582.52$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 60c | 546.26$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 51c | 544.59$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.74 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 539.42$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.92 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 480.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 406.67$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.13 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 327.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…089fbacked Over | 61c | 326.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Under | 49c | 303.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 267.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 263.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 208.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Over | 50c | 203.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 52c | 190.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…b743backed Under | 49c | 186.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 50c | 174.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…b831backed Over | 50c | 150.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 51c | 136.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 51c | 133.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 51c | 124.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 51c | 124.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 120.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 69c | 105.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 52c | 104.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 51c | 104.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 53c | 98.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 51c | 96.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 94.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 93.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 88.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Over | 50c | 77.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 49c | 77.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 52c | 76.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 58c | 68.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 64.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 48c | 61.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 43c | 56.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 49c | 53.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Over | 52c | 52.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 51c | 49.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 53c | 43.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Over | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…75aebacked Under | 51c | 37.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 52c | 36.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Over | 50c | 36.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 74c | 35.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 31.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.