NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860893f85a1eca4bd697b6a5fd152956bf5e61b9a1f4b8338155f28fdeb59fea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Golden Knights, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Golden Knights | 1c | 224,477$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.16 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Kraken | 48c | 41,581$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,581.1 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Kraken | 24c | 25,154$6,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,131.86 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Golden Knights | 52c | 19,143$9,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,954.3 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 37c | 14,115$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,892.49 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kraken | 32c | 12,630$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,591.17 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…35bbbacked Golden Knights | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kraken | 38c | 11,579$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,178.95 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Kraken | 40c | 8,073$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.32 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Golden Knights | 63c | 8,050$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Golden Knights | 64c | 7,304$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.43 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 65c | 6,217$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.11 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 78c | 6,203$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Golden Knights | 62c | 5,968$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.97 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Golden Knights | 63c | 5,157$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Golden Knights | 4c | 5,098$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Kraken | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.97 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken | 20c | 4,909$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.38 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Golden Knights | 55c | 4,323$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.07 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 66c | 4,026$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.05 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Golden Knights | 1c | 3,807$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 63c | 3,521$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.46 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 63c | 3,514$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.38 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 3,501$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.58 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kraken | 16c | 3,274$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.98 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Kraken | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.96 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kraken | 13c | 2,931$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.47 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Golden Knights | 62c | 2,660$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.6 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,638$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 67c | 2,520$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.82 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 2,511$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.24 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed Kraken | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0701backed Kraken | 41c | 2,468$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 32c | 2,447$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.91 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Kraken | 37c | 2,433$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.7 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 16c | 2,410$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.57 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Kraken | 11c | 2,318$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.86 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 37c | 2,305$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Kraken | 29c | 2,200$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.89 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Golden Knights | 57c | 2,024$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.49 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden Knights | 63c | 2,014$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.82 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kraken | 37c | 1,953$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.14 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 37c | 1,887$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.77 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 1,865$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.64 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Golden Knights | 77c | 1,836$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.27 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,777$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,582$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.75 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Kraken | 20c | 1,496$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.88 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,332$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.51 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 1,325$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,324$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.24 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,297$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.74 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…ea7abacked Kraken | 14c | 1,254$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.06 | 233 | 48.5%113 W · 120 L | +16.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Golden Knights | 64c | 1,217$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.61 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,165$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.9 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kraken | 37c | 1,100$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.89 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Golden Knights | 5c | 1,080$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Golden Knights | 70c | 1,077$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.96 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Kraken | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.98 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Kraken | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Kraken | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 62c | 990$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Golden Knights | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kraken | 9c | 921.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.89 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 62c | 858.31$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.15 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Golden Knights | 61c | 819.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ed…e473backed Kraken | 36c | 799.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 790.48$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…9133backed Golden Knights | 38c | 771.07$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 728.09$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.07 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Kraken | 14c | 721.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.19 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 708.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Kraken | 38c | 704.89$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.03 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Golden Knights | 63c | 698.41$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights | 4c | 689.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Kraken | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kraken | 9c | 625$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.5 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Golden Knights | 66c | 621.47$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Kraken | 43c | 616.73$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Golden Knights | 56c | 611.23$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.73 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Kraken | 8c | 582.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.64 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Kraken | 21c | 561.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 66c | 537.54$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.58 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Golden Knights | 77c | 529.15$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Kraken | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…03b0backed Golden Knights | 46c | 520.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Kraken | 23c | 519.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.25 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Golden Knights | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Kraken | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Kraken | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Golden Knights | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights | 77c | 498.96$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Golden Knights | 63c | 482.83$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.37 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Golden Knights | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken | 38c | 474.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.01 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1561…2028backed Golden Knights | 61c | 461.68$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Golden Knights | 64c | 458.28$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Krakenthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.