NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c67dc7e58f3b5e78de95e408cdbffc633322820fa4e7a96039ea2714c7b2f8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Golden Knights, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Golden Knights | 42c | 13,340$5,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,602.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kraken | 58c | 12,755$7,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.3 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 56c | 2,953$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.96 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Golden Knights | 44c | 2,179$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.61 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 38c | 1,028$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.77 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Kraken | 62c | 945.68$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken | 59c | 589.29$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.61 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Golden Knights | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Kraken | 59c | 439.69$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Kraken | 62c | 386.51$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…c595backed Kraken | 50c | 361.56$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Kraken | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 41c | 303.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Golden Knights | 9c | 299.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Golden Knights | 57c | 292.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kraken | 47c | 253.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights | 49c | 236.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Golden Knights | 41c | 220.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kraken | 62c | 189.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Golden Knights | 38c | 183.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Kraken | 59c | 180.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 133.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kraken | 44c | 115.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Golden Knights | 70c | 109.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 100.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…fb35backed Golden Knights | 37c | 100.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 100.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Golden Knights | 38c | 95.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Golden Knights | 41c | 82.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kraken | 62c | 80.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Kraken | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Golden Knights | 41c | 72.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Kraken | 72c | 65.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Kraken | 62c | 63.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Kraken | 31c | 60.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Kraken | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kraken | 62c | 55.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kraken | 61c | 48.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 38c | 48.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Kraken | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Golden Knights | 66c | 45.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Golden Knights | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Kraken | 49c | 34.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Golden Knights | 38c | 33.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kraken | 62c | 33.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Golden Knights | 38c | 31.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Kraken | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Kraken | 39c | 29.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Golden Knights | 52c | 29.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Golden Knights | 41c | 28.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 55c | 25.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 24.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kraken | 49c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Golden Knights | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Kraken | 62c | 22.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Kraken | 52c | 20.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Kraken | 61c | 19.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. KrakenKraken won
- Golden Knights vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.