NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9b27d9e03bede4dcd7b37150239c5c193aa77441e5e303cd9edfb45b4d1970f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Wild, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 620 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Wild | 44c | 86,799$38,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,191.48 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Stars | 55c | 49,892$27,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,451.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 56c | 23,937$13,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,596.46 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Wild | 18c | 23,004$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Stars | 56c | 21,497$12,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,479.09 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 65c | 17,778$11,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,258.9 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 35c | 12,089$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.11 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Stars | 56c | 11,068$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,870.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 45c | 9,326$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.6 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Wild | 43c | 9,272$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.98 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Wild | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Wild | 45c | 7,571$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.03 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Stars | 56c | 7,399$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.72 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stars | 57c | 6,729$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.92 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Stars | 57c | 6,006$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.97 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Stars | 54c | 5,161$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.1 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Wild | 25c | 4,273$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.25 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Wild | 26c | 3,869$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.74 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Wild | 45c | 3,868$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.6 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Wild | 41c | 3,858$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.19 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 63c | 3,718$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.98 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 54c | 3,590$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Stars | 63c | 3,539$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.98 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Stars | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.18 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Stars | 63c | 3,525$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.81 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Stars | 63c | 3,524$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.41 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Wild | 44c | 3,473$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.76 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 55c | 3,435$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.67 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wild | 44c | 3,017$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.39 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.01 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Wild | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Stars | 56c | 2,921$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.15 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Wild | 45c | 2,901$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.45 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Wild | 45c | 2,901$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Wild | 45c | 2,901$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Wild | 43c | 2,896$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stars | 60c | 2,825$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.39 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Wild | 33c | 2,680$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.89 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Wild | 8c | 2,674$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…64b5backed Wild | 3c | 2,455$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wild | 38c | 2,446$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.23 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Stars | 57c | 2,379$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.29 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Stars | 56c | 2,283$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.41 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Wild | 31c | 2,200$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.97 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 58c | 2,164$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.59 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Wild | 31c | 2,022$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.93 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 31c | 2,009$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.83 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Wild | 33c | 2,000$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.96 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Stars | 66c | 1,905$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.51 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Wild | 28c | 1,821$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.23 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Stars | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Stars | 56c | 1,704$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.67 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Stars | 56c | 1,544$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.29 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Wild | 45c | 1,527$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Wild | 36c | 1,479$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.09 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Wild | 23c | 1,473$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.46 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Wild | 35c | 1,442$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.95 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Wild | 33c | 1,436$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.97 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Stars | 62c | 1,423$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.02 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Stars | 56c | 1,302$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 39c | 1,287$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.47 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Wild | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Wild | 46c | 1,136$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Wild | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.42 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Wild | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Wild | 29c | 1,050$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 31c | 1,041$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.72 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stars | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.09 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…ea7abacked Wild | 9c | 1,014$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 233 | 48.5%113 W · 120 L | +16.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Wild | 46c | 1,013$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.79 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Wild | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wild | 45c | 999.94$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 45c | 999.82$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.42 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Wild | 45c | 977.74$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Stars | 57c | 965$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.33 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Wild | 46c | 963.73$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wild | 22c | 922.65$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Stars | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Stars | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 56c | 799.74$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.89 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked Wild | 14c | 794.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 31c | 784.44$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Wild | 46c | 774.08$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.08 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x852b…4feebacked Stars | 55c | 746.49$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Wild | 44c | 744.92$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…bd04backed Stars | 55c | 729.75$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Stars | 70c | 708.82$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Stars | 70c | 700.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.93 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 33c | 687.77$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Stars | 56c | 681.52$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Wild | 45c | 644.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Stars | 55c | 635.27$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8a…556dbacked Stars | 55c | 618.24$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 67c | 616.36$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Wild | 20c | 572.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…5899backed Wild | 45c | 561.11$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…e529backed Stars | 55c | 555.19$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Starsthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.