NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9abae1a1d05230f1e5d4094cce45a26d1da779f54edad0348c821bb2320aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 44c | 1,940$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.44 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 1,940$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.18 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 55c | 1,864$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.88 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,623$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.57 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 45c | 1,206$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.49 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Under | 47c | 920.3$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 796.09$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.24 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 553.91$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 535.55$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 463.6$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 41c | 453.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.15 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 55c | 445$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 434.04$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 429.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 42c | 307.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 32c | 304.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.22 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 294$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 61c | 211.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 209.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df6…f315backed Under | 47c | 207.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 45c | 204.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…84a4backed Over | 54c | 185.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 179.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 55c | 177.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 55c | 176.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Over | 54c | 175.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 164.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 68c | 163.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 75c | 157.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Over | 54c | 156.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked Under | 71c | 116$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 112.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 102.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 31c | 95.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 47c | 81.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Under | 47c | 72.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 37c | 68.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Over | 41c | 66.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 50c | 65.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 61c | 62.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 61c | 62.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 61c | 62.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 52c | 56.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 20c | 52.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 41c | 51.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 32c | 49.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 49.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Over | 55c | 46.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 58c | 42.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 26c | 42.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Under | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 70c | 35.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Over | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 33.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 33.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 58c | 29.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 53c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…f3c8backed Over | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 51c | 21.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 74c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…39b6backed Over | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 70c | 19.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Wild vs. StarsStars won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.