NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53a6dea728992100f7836c8744ed156a04098e2dfb74cc5fb1320cce3e0715ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,831$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 7c | 1,378$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under | 79c | 902.64$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 58c | 661.89$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.18 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 30c | 476.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 77c | 448.52$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 436.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Over | 46c | 339.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.61 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over | 42c | 332.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 288.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 19c | 275.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 44c | 275.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 37c | 256.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 42c | 246.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Under | 80c | 227.22$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 25c | 222.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 15c | 188$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 61c | 164.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 162.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 40c | 156.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 147.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 58c | 137.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 100.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Under | 80c | 100.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 42c | 90.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 77c | 88.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Under | 58c | 83.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 63c | 78.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 75.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 43c | 69.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 59c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 33c | 59.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…88cbbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…5ab1backed Under | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ba…cf3fbacked Under | 73c | 45.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 58c | 44.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 48c | 41.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked Under | 63c | 40.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Under | 52c | 38.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…8803backed Under | 53c | 36.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 75c | 34.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Under | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…d5c2backed Over | 43c | 32.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 34c | 31.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 70c | 31.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…f3c8backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Over | 44c | 28.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 58c | 28.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…2a28backed Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffb…ca46backed Over | 43c | 27.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795e…8805backed Over | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…65bfbacked Under | 58c | 25.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0dd1backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 23.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…7210backed Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Wild vs. StarsStars won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.