NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37001a88866a8a117f9289d5571046b33552510d12afc8040a5c1ebb862f47a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Stars | 32c | 2,940$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.2 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Wild | 68c | 2,885$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Wild | 67c | 983$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.61 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 33c | 589.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.66 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Wild | 68c | 468.72$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Stars | 32c | 449.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Stars | 46c | 381.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Stars | 44c | 263.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 56c | 210.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Stars | 43c | 192.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Wild | 63c | 184.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Wild | 67c | 178.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…4d80backed Wild | 55c | 178.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Wild | 68c | 173.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Wild | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 64c | 151.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Wild | 67c | 145.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Stars | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…4a53backed Stars | 33c | 136.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wild | 53c | 131.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Stars | 41c | 128.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Wild | 47c | 108.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Wild | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Wild | 55c | 81.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 34c | 80.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Stars | 48c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Wild | 67c | 74.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Wild | 68c | 63.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Wild | 68c | 63.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stars | 40c | 63.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Stars | 33c | 63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…fda3backed Stars | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +147%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Wild | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 49c | 55.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Stars | 32c | 54.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stars | 32c | 49.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Stars | 43c | 48.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Stars | 51c | 47.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Stars | 52c | 47.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 68c | 47.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wild | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Wild | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 52c | 43.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 45c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Stars | 41c | 39.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Wild | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed Wild | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Wild | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Wild | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Wild | 67c | 16.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. StarsStars won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.