MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f2476181ce687af036fd92621ed74d3e84a73fe8784a4bb6101d2d81c4f92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 50,137$25,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,067.25 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 33,712$16,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,856.03 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 14,451$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.8 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 12,966$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…8235backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 11,380$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,066.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 11,340$5,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,443.2 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,702$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 6,605$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.37 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 4,405$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.34 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 4,251$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.26 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 4,053$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.18 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 3,994$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 3,769$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.51 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 3,662$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,343$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.73 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 3,292$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 3,281$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.09 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 3,056$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.68 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,769$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.5 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 1,718$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.04 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,688$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,281$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 1,239$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,172$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.22 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,131$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.28 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,008$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.05 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 935.32$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.01 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 777$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 748.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.69 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…9418backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 719.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 710$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 623.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.23 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 622.76$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 618.55$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 590.73$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 28c | 588.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 567.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 563.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 545.46$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 494.66$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.28 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 477.87$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 463.32$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.26 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 425.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 406.66$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 380.78$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 350.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.04 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 342.43$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 340.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 331.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 301$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 299.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.99 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 296$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 275$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 275$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 272$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 271$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 266.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 263.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 261$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 250.92$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 246$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 242$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 223$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 220.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…461fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 174$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 172$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 158.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 156.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 152.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 149.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 148.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 145$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 25c | 141$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.