NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe97335484e88661816223afa52497ebdeab6ed61669621f9ce9f43e8ad4dabc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $896,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,034,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 299,999$111,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,999.76 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Stars | 65c | 115,385$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,384.62 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 63c | 81,303$51,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,082.04 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 64,447$23,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,125.38 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Stars | 62c | 41,731$25,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,975.53 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Stars | 64c | 25,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 24,326$9,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000.5 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Stars | 63c | 19,040$11,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,044.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 64c | 12,273$7,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.09 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 63c | 9,337$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.8 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 63c | 9,156$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.69 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 61c | 8,764$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.49 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Stars | 61c | 8,443$5,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.32 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 63c | 8,077$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.92 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 62c | 8,000$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 7,700$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 7,321$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.44 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 6,410$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Stars | 61c | 6,360$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.36 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 64c | 6,195$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.95 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,871$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.03 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Stars | 63c | 5,649$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.85 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 5,313$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.57 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Stars | 64c | 4,687$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.32 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 29c | 4,681$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.75 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Stars | 59c | 4,629$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.51 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Stars | 59c | 4,597$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Stars | 64c | 4,427$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.56 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 4,376$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.43 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 4,263$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.41 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Stars | 56c | 4,025$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…c6e0backed Stars | 62c | 3,865$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Stars | 51c | 3,810$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.13 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 49c | 3,788$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Stars | 63c | 3,750$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.56 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 61c | 3,632$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.31 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 46c | 3,604$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.41 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,543$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.09 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Stars | 58c | 3,437$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,332$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.67 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Stars | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 3,111$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.14 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 2,966$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.67 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Stars | 61c | 2,912$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.67 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Maple Leafs | 6c | 2,333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Stars | 63c | 2,317$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.46 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…1200backed Stars | 63c | 2,240$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,200$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.56 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 64c | 2,190$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.25 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stars | 35c | 2,188$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.3 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Stars | 63c | 2,186$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.86 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…c197backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,967$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Stars | 63c | 1,964$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.21 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Stars | 24c | 1,923$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.63 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,892$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.82 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,808$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.72 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,805$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,780$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.2 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 1,695$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Stars | 49c | 1,667$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Stars | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,574$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.51 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Stars | 62c | 1,573$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…cc33backed Stars | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Stars | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,481$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.35 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…ea7abacked Maple Leafs | 19c | 1,475$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 233 | 48.5%113 W · 120 L | +16.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Stars | 13c | 1,432$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.86 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Stars | 51c | 1,413$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.77 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Stars | 23c | 1,380$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.7 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Stars | 64c | 1,300$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.71 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,284$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.94 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,251$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.22 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c7…329fbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,191$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Stars | 50c | 1,186$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.55 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,128$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.71 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Stars | 58c | 1,111$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.77 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Stars | 63c | 1,071$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.43 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3727…0197backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 1,056$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 45c | 1,039$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.29 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,030$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.37 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Stars | 60c | 1,006$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.53 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Stars | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Stars | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Stars | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Stars | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 981$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.1 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb519…81ecbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 980$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Stars | 63c | 969.79$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.82 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 948$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Stars | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 902$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.96 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Stars | 63c | 899.89$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 897.14$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Stars won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Stars vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Stars vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Stars vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.