NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cda656f12461d45fe370d2df5914d8de9f3abf45953a33ec8fe277e53337e30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Flames, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Flames | 26c | 153,764$39,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,821.84 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 74c | 46,008$34,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,962.09 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Avalanche | 74c | 24,184$17,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,287.86 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Avalanche | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Avalanche | 77c | 17,194$13,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.11 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 74c | 14,819$10,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 70c | 14,427$10,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.19 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 33c | 13,918$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.9 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Avalanche | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Flames | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 75c | 9,583$7,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.22 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Flames | 27c | 7,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 75c | 7,009$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.76 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Flames | 45c | 5,444$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.67 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Flames | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 22c | 4,572$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Flames | 4c | 4,487$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 25c | 4,353$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.64 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 73c | 4,332$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.25 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Avalanche | 75c | 3,900$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 25c | 3,590$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.19 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Flames | 7c | 3,468$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Flames | 26c | 3,333$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.56 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Flames | 26c | 2,700$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Flames | 9c | 2,642$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed Flames | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Avalanche | 74c | 2,278$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.25 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Flames | 3c | 2,063$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Avalanche | 75c | 2,009$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.72 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Avalanche | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Avalanche | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Avalanche | 74c | 1,901$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.32 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Avalanche | 75c | 1,901$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.32 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Flames | 15c | 1,866$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.21 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Avalanche | 76c | 1,861$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.35 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flames | 1c | 1,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 28c | 1,757$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.34 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Avalanche | 74c | 1,700$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.24 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Flames | 26c | 1,691$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.05 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Flames | 16c | 1,652$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Avalanche | 74c | 1,637$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.62 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche | 75c | 1,590$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.61 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Avalanche | 76c | 1,500$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Avalanche | 75c | 1,429$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.46 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Flames | 26c | 1,363$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.38 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flames | 2c | 1,360$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Avalanche | 75c | 1,312$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.73 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche | 75c | 1,267$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.24 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 25c | 1,238$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.96 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Avalanche | 75c | 1,224$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.29 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Flames | 10c | 1,205$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Flames | 12c | 1,118$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Avalanche | 76c | 1,111$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.88 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,104$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.56 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Flames | 8c | 1,096$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Flames | 23c | 1,092$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.63 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 11c | 1,068$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 75c | 1,054$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.34 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Flames | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Avalanche | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…06e0backed Avalanche | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Avalanche | 73c | 914.13$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.81 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ed…e473backed Flames | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0e…b7bcbacked Flames | 25c | 799.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Flames | 12c | 777.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Flames | 7c | 697$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Avalanche | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Avalanche | 80c | 625.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Avalanche | 75c | 608.11$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 75c | 592.04$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche | 75c | 579.64$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Flames | 26c | 557.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Avalanche | 74c | 554.98$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…e306backed Avalanche | 75c | 536$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Flames | 4c | 514.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Avalanche | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Flames | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Avalanche | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Avalanche | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Avalanche | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…9cc9backed Flames | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Avalanche | 73c | 475.34$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Avalanche | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Flames | 27c | 420$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Avalanche | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed Avalanche | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Avalanche | 73c | 399.72$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Flames | 26c | 399$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7372…6ce4backed Flames | 26c | 389.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Flames | 21c | 387.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Avalanche | 75c | 381.33$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Avalanche | 73c | 376.66$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Flames | 25c | 374.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Flames | 29c | 357.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…1338backed Flames | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…9656backed Avalanche | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche | 74c | 342.31$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 74c | 336.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…3ee4backed Avalanche | 66c | 313.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Avalanche | 71c | 307.8$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Avalanchethis page
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.