NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590415932fe0e7d9e9411c5f4571eda26c50794eb68caff97e3518f3a9548333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 53c | 460.69$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 399.86$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 25c | 327.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4d…6ba1backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 47c | 214.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…3c5abacked Over | 49c | 196.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 46c | 178.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 54c | 164.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 53c | 139.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 124.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 49c | 107.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Under | 76c | 66.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Under | 74c | 46.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b3…57d9backed Under | 52c | 43.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Over | 48c | 30.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 26.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…d953backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…ff38backed Over | 47c | 24.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…2b1ebacked Over | 47c | 24.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 24.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…20e9backed Over | 47c | 24.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…c3ecbacked Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…2421backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…1f79backed Under | 53c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…0ecfbacked Under | 53c | 23.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…9506backed Over | 46c | 23.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4428…5d56backed Over | 47c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…5c08backed Over | 47c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…8231backed Over | 47c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…a993backed Over | 47c | 22.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…c7d4backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…c4b9backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccd…491bbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…360ebacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…983fbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…1043backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…f9febacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6220…b0d3backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…4c3abacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Flames vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.