NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeddd2b755c5ab8b54c736610c9535e421d234d06f15451f10f5f2a93a746cfec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 54c | 5,533$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.47 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Flames | 55c | 4,183$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.58 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Flames | 47c | 3,111$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.16 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Avalanche | 54c | 2,881$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.37 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Avalanche | 53c | 2,803$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.21 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 46c | 2,098$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.05 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Flames | 47c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,818$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.07 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flames | 47c | 1,400$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.84 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flames | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,021$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.23 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,014$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.85 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Flames | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Flames | 36c | 990.63$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Avalanche | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 47c | 900.64$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Flames | 48c | 682.1$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.12 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 23c | 472.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Flames | 38c | 409.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.47 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 51c | 314.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Avalanche | 51c | 280.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.32 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Flames | 37c | 249.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Avalanche | 48c | 223.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…2c87backed Avalanche | 6c | 210$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +386.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Flames | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Avalanche | 53c | 192.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Avalanche | 53c | 187.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Flames | 47c | 183.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Avalanche | 54c | 182.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 63c | 175.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Flames | 46c | 168.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Avalanche | 53c | 162.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Avalanche | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…400dbacked Avalanche | 52c | 141.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Flames | 46c | 122.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Avalanche | 52c | 106.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Flames | 35c | 85.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 46c | 84.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Avalanche | 52c | 83.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Avalanche | 66c | 80.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 24c | 78.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Avalanche | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Flames | 48c | 71.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Avalanche | 66c | 70.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Flames | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Avalanche | 60c | 69.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Flames | 46c | 65.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Avalanche | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Avalanche | 66c | 63.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Avalanche | 64c | 57.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Flames | 47c | 54.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Flames | 46c | 53.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Avalanche | 57c | 53.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Avalanche | 41c | 49.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Flames | 48c | 49.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Avalanche | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…dffdbacked Flames | 46c | 46.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Avalanche | 53c | 44.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Avalanche | 58c | 41.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Flames | 49c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Avalanche | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Avalanche | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Avalanche | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…fb35backed Avalanche | 60c | 34.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Flames | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Avalanche | 53c | 29.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Avalanche | 64c | 26.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Avalanche | 52c | 22.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Flames | 46c | 22.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Avalanche | 54c | 22.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Flames | 49c | 20.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Avalanche | 54c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Flames vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.