TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Astrosof Colorado Rockies, Houston Astros
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$521,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe996…308bbacked Colorado Rockies0c206,022$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Colorado Rockies39c78,787$30,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,726.8421040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Houston Astros61c40,025$24,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,609.594047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros63c18,139$11,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,711.4992054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies38c13,724$5,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,215.031,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Houston Astros61c12,385$7,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.81,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros61c10,692$6,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.883,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros59c10,192$5,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,220.1210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Colorado Rockies37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9913349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros75c7,734$5,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.8543554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Houston Astros61c7,283$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.2211146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Colorado Rockies27c5,063$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.9131039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros61c4,868$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.711,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros65c3,783$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3161,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado Rockies4c3,770$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.781,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros73c3,487$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.444,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros75c3,281$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.372,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Colorado Rockies39c2,964$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.0819250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies17c2,741$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.666,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Houston Astros62c2,250$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.7636649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Colorado Rockies10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros62c1,999$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.565,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Houston Astros61c1,957$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.3218248.4%88 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Colorado Rockies40c1,932$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.621,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies35c1,773$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.538,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Houston Astros63c1,662$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.047164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Colorado Rockies42c1,551$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.141,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Colorado Rockies39c1,504$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.712049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Colorado Rockies32c1,439$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.111931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Colorado Rockies27c1,417$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4816547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Colorado Rockies19c1,414$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.629948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Houston Astros60c1,384$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.735450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Colorado Rockies41c1,346$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.991,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Colorado Rockies41c1,346$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.9934452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Colorado Rockies41c1,331$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.677045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Colorado Rockies42c1,300$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.861,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Colorado Rockies41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.312656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Colorado Rockies42c1,153$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5539351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Colorado Rockies42c1,149$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.645246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Houston Astros60c1,050$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Colorado Rockies37c1,020$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.44951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Colorado Rockies40c983.28$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3110842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Colorado Rockies40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.644451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Houston Astros61c841.18$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.2567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Rockies12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7294034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Colorado Rockies12c757.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7648339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Colorado Rockies13c734.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7724040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Houston Astros61c730.47$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8847350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Colorado Rockies10c721.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.449735.1%34 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Colorado Rockies41c705.8$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3851555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Houston Astros61c685.48$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0955464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros61c655.83$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.325,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Colorado Rockies19c595.64$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5810338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Colorado Rockies16c591.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.96825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Colorado Rockies24c572.64$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3622848.2%110 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Colorado Rockies7c570.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies37c553.16$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.36,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Colorado Rockies12c540.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4815840.5%64 W · 94 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Houston Astros60c539$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.63158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies38c520$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.21,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Houston Astros79c499.78$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3414558.6%85 W · 60 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Houston Astros63c499.66$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8719848.5%96 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Colorado Rockies38c481.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9385952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Houston Astros59c476.76$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7212337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Colorado Rockies41c470.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9241847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Colorado Rockies41c467.52$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9513343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Colorado Rockies42c460.96$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0240554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd25…46eabacked Colorado Rockies11c435.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.781154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros61c430$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Houston Astros61c414.93$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4417448.9%85 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies38c399.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.596,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros70c395.75$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.861,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Houston Astros62c393.22$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.424443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Houston Astros61c375.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6450751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cf…6ad4backed Colorado Rockies39c370.54$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.511050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Houston Astros57c367.79$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8465651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Houston Astros62c365.96$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0741051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Houston Astros42c330.73$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.414641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies9c293.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.212,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Colorado Rockies13c292.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0322041.8%92 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Houston Astros37c263.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Houston Astros61c263.68$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8418553%98 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Colorado Rockies37c260.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5530844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies38c260$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.61,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed Houston Astros60c255.56$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0814451.4%74 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Colorado Rockies28c253.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4451555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros62c250$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.252,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Colorado Rockies28c239.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7850860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Colorado Rockies38c238.77$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7313442.5%57 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rockies41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4694648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Colorado Rockies41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4618345.4%83 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Colorado Rockies41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.461,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Houston Astros63c234.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.836070%42 W · 18 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Houston Astros74c233.42$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.054755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Colorado Rockies7c229.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0533228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Colorado Rockies15c226.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2121033.3%70 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…63ffbacked Colorado Rockies15c220.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick25cpaid+89.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies38c220$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.61,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Colorado Rockies38c220$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.663644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Colorado Rockies28c218.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.631,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.