NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd98eca9ae00238276c6be7421ed6fbb92d482cf7d50319aa1f0842d2312fe414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Wild, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $905,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $945,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 875 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Wild | 36c | 362,760$130,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,107.33 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 64c | 109,999$70,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,599.64 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Wild | 36c | 90,000$32,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,200 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche | 64c | 77,777$49,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,999.72 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche | 64c | 71,222$45,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,639.86 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Avalanche | 64c | 55,121$35,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,843.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wild | 0c | 24,257$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Avalanche | 64c | 23,980$15,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,632.67 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche | 64c | 23,674$15,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,522.69 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche | 65c | 20,343$13,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,052.7 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Avalanche | 65c | 18,557$12,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,463.23 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 66c | 15,333$10,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220.64 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wild | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.96 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Avalanche | 73c | 13,006$9,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.83 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…d00ebacked Wild | 3c | 12,518$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche | 74c | 11,388$8,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.77 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 65c | 11,371$7,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.25 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Wild | 13c | 10,174$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.67 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Avalanche | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Wild | 32c | 10,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Wild | 36c | 9,699$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.53 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Avalanche | 64c | 8,015$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.24 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 35c | 7,776$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.65 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 68c | 7,421$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.49 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Avalanche | 67c | 7,130$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.23 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Wild | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche | 64c | 6,500$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.95 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Wild | 26c | 6,461$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Wild | 22c | 6,105$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.17 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wild | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wild | 23c | 5,555$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.65 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Avalanche | 74c | 5,237$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Avalanche | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Avalanche | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Avalanche | 65c | 4,838$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wild | 0c | 4,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…5493backed Wild | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Wild | 36c | 4,001$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Wild | 35c | 3,976$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.62 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Wild | 25c | 3,615$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Avalanche | 65c | 3,600$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 35c | 3,600$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Wild | 36c | 3,578$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.08 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Wild | 24c | 3,213$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.04 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wild | 16c | 3,092$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.46 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Avalanche | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Avalanche | 66c | 3,020$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Wild | 36c | 2,934$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.41 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,666$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.76 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Wild | 35c | 2,452$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.07 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 30c | 2,343$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Avalanche | 65c | 2,300$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Wild | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Wild | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Wild | 33c | 1,994$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.08 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Wild | 36c | 1,904$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.94 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Avalanche | 66c | 1,886$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.26 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,870$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.63 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Wild | 27c | 1,800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.94 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Wild | 9c | 1,742$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Wild | 36c | 1,611$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,561$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.16 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,487$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.92 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…f28bbacked Wild | 36c | 1,440$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,437$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wild | 25c | 1,425$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.22 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,398$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.27 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Wild | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Wild | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Wild | 36c | 1,371$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,352$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.58 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 65c | 1,344$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.88 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…9e4cbacked Wild | 3c | 1,219$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa105…da58backed Wild | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,186$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.23 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Wild | 12c | 1,160$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…7272backed Wild | 15c | 1,100$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Wild | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Avalanche | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…a0f0backed Wild | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Wild | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Wild | 12c | 850$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 65c | 818.99$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Wild | 36c | 817.25$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Avalanche | 66c | 794.26$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Wild | 23c | 773.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Avalanche | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +66%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Avalanche | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…3225backed Wild | 36c | 768.32$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Avalanche | 66c | 713$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Wild | 9c | 700$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Wild | 28c | 670.82$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Wild | 34c | 668.88$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanchethis page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.