NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68a1f437326c6183dc93b90dd272cdd03703f156da9cccf36d9f9cddce60e2bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 30c | 2,322$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.98 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 70c | 1,738$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.54 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 70c | 1,660$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.38 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 10c | 1,602$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 33c | 1,348$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.49 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 30c | 1,348$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 70c | 933.96$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.84 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 712.01$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 43c | 680.47$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.85 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 59c | 672.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.3 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 596.65$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 558.55$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 70c | 555$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 71c | 540.74$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 15c | 509.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 63c | 496.91$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…6055backed Under | 44c | 448.01$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 46c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 45c | 397.77$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Over | 53c | 379.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 79c | 335.15$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 29c | 327.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 77c | 323.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 287.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 54c | 271.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Over | 29c | 269.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Over | 38c | 265.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 19c | 259.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Under | 78c | 255.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked Over | 35c | 204.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 37c | 161.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 138.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 54c | 133.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 62c | 112.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 42c | 104$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 41c | 98.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 12c | 97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Over | 28c | 95.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Over | 56c | 85.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…958cbacked Over | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 78.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 68c | 78.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 80c | 72.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 51c | 72.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…8843backed Under | 72c | 69.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Over | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…e194backed Over | 48c | 51.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 49c | 51.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 44.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Over | 69c | 36.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Under | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 34.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Under | 72c | 32.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked Under | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Under | 72c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 54c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 25.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4763backed Over | 58c | 25.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 53c | 20.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd328…8b13backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked Under | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Under | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Wild vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.