TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ca7…0a12backed Over50c3,484$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.951346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1106841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over63c2,084$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.051,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over61c1,739$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under53c1,688$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.735240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over64c1,099$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.152,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under39c1,003$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3911,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over61c987.47$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.118348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c949.42$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.471,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under39c904.9$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9126154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over65c840.59$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.043,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under39c780$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under20c674.75$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9610438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over61c641.81$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.263154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0325…01bcbacked Over62c613.03$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Under60c539.11$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.473259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1959948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over75c482.4$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1922250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over79c420$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.51,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Over61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over61c372.53$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2925449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under38c356.37$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3950251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under38c334.42$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.083831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under39c327.19$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.322946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Under41c318$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.237533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1176142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Under16c276.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.433030%9 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over61c265.57$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.571464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under15c260.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.214477.3%34 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.420147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f2…a5b1backed Over63c190.49$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under39c164$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.966154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under35c164$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.41,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Over61c147.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5410256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9604…3cacbacked Over62c138.55$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under20c133.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.231828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under60c124.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4775…0bcebacked Under60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over59c112.19$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4623665.7%155 W · 81 L+15.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over78c102.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8641050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over61c101.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.645255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over68c100.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8749851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551a…b3dcbacked Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over61c89.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.062387%20 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over77c86.9$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.314855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under38c79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0253849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over61c78.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.699846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Over61c76.31$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.767346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under39c71.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283040%12 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Under45c67.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.167051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a70…a50bbacked Over80c65.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.14037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under39c64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.962450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under36c52.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under38c50.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x328c…975cbacked Over61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Under27c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under53c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.577642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x504b…b939backed Under38c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.988336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5b…efbebacked Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9812150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7210260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c78…e701backed Under40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6834547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd5…a5bbbacked Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc33…729cbacked Over77c32.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.48757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Over63c31.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under45c31.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1861848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213d…6224backed Under36c30.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Over62c29.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.034845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over61c27.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.865721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under68c26.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over80c25.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.136656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x108a…517abacked Over61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.595961%36 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over62c20.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6942558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Over73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.43568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07bd…5d79backed Over61c17.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.962445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0d…53f7backed Over59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over64c16.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.