MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaa5a56f89ad56b5bcb90aeb8a02fc055de7f994d475f225161dd9537a5b22d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 11,983$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 11,683$6,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.96 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 10,507$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.54 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 9,865$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 7,471$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.3 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 5,771$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.74 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 4,333$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 3,935$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.72 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 3,501$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 2,870$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.16 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 2,113$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 2,076$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 2,042$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.71 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…79ebbacked Washington Nationals | 5c | 2,007$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 1,824$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,680$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.45 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,675$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.37 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,634$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.12 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Washington Nationals | 2c | 1,592$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,370$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.08 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,291$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.87 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,152$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.43 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,133$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.34 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,131$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.8 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,130$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.69 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 1,127$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.01 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,110$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.8 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…88e7backed Washington Nationals | 2c | 1,084$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 973.68$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 869.23$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.14 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 848.05$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 799.57$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 773.66$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 758.14$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.33 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 722.61$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 681.35$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.71 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 626.24$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 620.67$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 536.22$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 528$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 478.62$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 470.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 463$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.91 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 462.78$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.55 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 450.55$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.55 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 440.28$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 432.8$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 432.71$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 417.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 413.05$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.13 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 412$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 404.04$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.87 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 396.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 380.9$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…50cebacked Washington Nationals | 7c | 378.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 377.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 323.21$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 302.38$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 297.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 267.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 258.87$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…2b6abacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 244.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 233.34$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 230.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 206.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 206.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 203.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 192.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 191.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 189.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 186.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 179.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 165.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 162.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 162.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 160.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 155.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 155.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 155.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 154.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 150.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 150.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 148.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 148.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 146.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…1388backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 145.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 133.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 132$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.