MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4e0b4a28982539678b3d248fff47468797da35e4e30d97604d44b90e8f29a51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 22,507$11,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,503.16 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 50c | 19,069$9,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,534.38 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 52c | 18,176$9,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,423.22 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 15,568$7,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,095.11 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 9,665$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.74 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 49c | 3,551$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.96 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.07 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,279$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.08 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 59c | 2,228$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.17 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 2,226$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Under | 51c | 2,043$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.86 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 35c | 1,512$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,477$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.66 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 72c | 1,294$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 52c | 1,294$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 49c | 950.02$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.51 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 50c | 618.38$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 580.89$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 52c | 552.84$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.47 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 47c | 534.03$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.97 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 44c | 496.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 47c | 451.65$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.95 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Over | 51c | 390.87$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 372.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 50c | 330.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 68c | 278.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 49c | 277.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 257.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 49c | 237.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 46c | 233.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 31c | 217.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Under | 56c | 190.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 59c | 172.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Over | 49c | 151.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 139.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 26c | 137.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Under | 48c | 103.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 100.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 49c | 99.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Over | 40c | 98.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…4b64backed Over | 49c | 82.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 78.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 56c | 75.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 27c | 72.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 64.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 62.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed Under | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…c072backed Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…42c6backed Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 52.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Under | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 49c | 47.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…88e7backed Over | 49c | 44.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…a057backed Under | 62c | 41.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Over | 52c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb5…b700backed Over | 51c | 37.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 36.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…3580backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 52c | 36.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6cc5backed Over | 51c | 35.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Under | 69c | 33.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 67c | 32.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 52c | 32.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Over | 51c | 30.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 128 | 64.1%82 W · 46 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked Under | 50c | 29.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 29.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Under | 49c | 29.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…8a4fbacked Over | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7f…9da6backed Over | 54c | 27.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 51c | 26.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 52c | 25.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 55c | 23.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…7bd5backed Under | 76c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 66c | 18.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington NationalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.