TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,277,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,312,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Golden Knights51c306,096$156,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,15416442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Golden Knights54c261,423$141,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,585.2820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Utah49c250,000$122,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,5001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Utah47c144,525$67,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,236.8510545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Golden Knights51c90,000$45,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,099.9211644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Golden Knights53c83,342$44,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,304.176352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Utah45c65,406$29,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,758.2748549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Utah45c63,408$28,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,590.5156649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Utah49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,5007545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Golden Knights54c44,444$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,444.4432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Utah46c38,300$17,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,618.126849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Golden Knights53c30,339$16,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,259.3214650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Utah27c28,918$7,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,946.0740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Utah30c23,337$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0002045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah47c18,354$8,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,703.021,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Utah27c14,001$3,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,756.542839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Utah47c13,000$6,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,069.997038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights50c12,628$6,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,314.071,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Utah48c11,635$5,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,586.811,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Utah20c10,763$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.158952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Utah46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Utah50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights79c9,728$7,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.8589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Utah48c9,578$4,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,566.9352050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Golden Knights55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.9118452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Golden Knights56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.5718853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Utah49c8,600$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2144555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Golden Knights56c8,442$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,747.3133450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Utah45c8,410$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.649038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Utah40c7,939$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,153.932,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Golden Knights55c7,711$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.6537754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah41c6,968$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.521,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Utah5c6,955$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7613841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Utah48c6,940$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.23333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Utah49c6,287$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.3728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Utah46c6,144$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.6127044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Golden Knights52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.238946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Utah49c5,555$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.734139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Utah48c5,441$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.3761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Utah47c5,288$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4747244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Utah37c4,946$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.69157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Utah48c4,865$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.24949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Golden Knights56c4,695$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.979260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed Utah46c4,555$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Utah30c4,161$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.6327037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Utah27c4,119$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.252352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Utah49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96013049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Utah48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9429146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Utah48c3,942$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.1620756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Utah44c3,666$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.382133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Utah31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Utah34c3,121$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.0333837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Utah39c3,100$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.591435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Utah32c3,095$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Utah49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Utah48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44011141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Utah48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Utah28c2,900$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.14436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked Golden Knights52c2,900$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3922552%13 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Utah43c2,646$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.0255446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Golden Knights61c2,627$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.9211162.2%69 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Golden Knights56c2,577$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.389948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Utah33c2,566$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.962,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Utah33c2,540$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.824837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd117…9314backed Utah32c2,517$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Utah47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17510663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah47c2,488$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.311,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Utah29c2,468$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah23c2,398$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.251,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Utah32c2,354$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.6235829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Utah32c2,224$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.3611251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Utah47c2,200$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.1576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Utah44c2,080$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.8225447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Utah27c2,065$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.551520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Utah28c2,056$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.6132451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Utah49c2,006$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.2217353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Utah49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Golden Knights51c1,966$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.3333652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Utah46c1,960$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.465954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Utah47c1,936$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91089355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Utah48c1,700$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.0531148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Utah10c1,640$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.223047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Golden Knights62c1,620$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.371338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Utah45c1,556$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Utah46c1,454$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8210743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Utah6c1,408$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.483228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Utah44c1,408$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62010359.2%61 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Utah49c1,327$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65015252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Utah33c1,305$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.3119759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Utah33c1,236$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.912142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Utah49c1,221$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Utah47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56424847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Utah6c1,180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.449321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Utah47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Utah46c1,147$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Utah48c1,135$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.83650%18 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Golden Knights72c1,104$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.171631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Utah46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50626154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Utah46c1,093$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7826955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.