NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0193ae9213befa28edf0ac899eea4ed57be564ccbc08cf3f6ad726aa0dec8809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Utah | 54c | 2,371$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.49 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Utah | 25c | 2,082$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Golden Knights | 29c | 1,474$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.47 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Utah | 56c | 1,097$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.44 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,001$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Utah | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Utah | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Utah | 42c | 710.02$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.17 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden Knights | 29c | 671$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.41 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Utah | 54c | 446.32$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.01 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Utah | 56c | 444$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Utah | 59c | 374.03$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Utah | 70c | 347.16$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 304.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.85 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights | 66c | 302$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Utah | 54c | 229.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights | 45c | 225.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights | 57c | 196.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Utah | 59c | 161.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 49c | 157.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Golden Knights | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Golden Knights | 62c | 131.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Golden Knights | 46c | 124.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Golden Knights | 40c | 112$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 101.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Golden Knights | 54c | 89.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8108…d6c3backed Golden Knights | 77c | 84.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Golden Knights | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Utah | 60c | 76.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 70c | 71.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Golden Knights | 44c | 69.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Utah | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Utah | 23c | 66.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Golden Knights | 37c | 65.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Golden Knights | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 64.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Utah | 27c | 61.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Utah | 25c | 60.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Golden Knights | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 50.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Utah | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Utah | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Golden Knights | 75c | 39.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…5f9bbacked Utah | 56c | 37.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Utah | 34c | 36.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked Utah | 71c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Golden Knights | 57c | 33.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Utah | 71c | 32.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Utah | 67c | 31.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Utah | 71c | 31.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights | 40c | 30.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 38c | 29.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Utah | 71c | 27.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 20.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…d3bbbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 20.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…7399backed Utah | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Utah | 72c | 19.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. UtahGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.