NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15692b7ce47002eedb0578d7bfb5ec738b0495fe4ae6c8828924cd5f86c0ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 12,020$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.29 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 3,680$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 2,960$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.93 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a907backed Over | 27c | 2,592$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 9c | 1,960$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Over | 14c | 1,145$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,115$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.37 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 62c | 1,042$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.2 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 10c | 761$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 670.93$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 546.88$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Under | 73c | 544.47$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Under | 66c | 455.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Under | 75c | 446.2$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 25c | 431.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 74c | 420.68$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Under | 75c | 400.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 26c | 360.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 29c | 350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 10c | 305.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 26c | 273.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 27c | 268.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Over | 43c | 235$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 26c | 203.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 30c | 202.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 158.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 21c | 151.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 21c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 77c | 116.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 27c | 102.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…bd04backed Under | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 78c | 86.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…c58fbacked Under | 70c | 80.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 30c | 53.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 59c | 40.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ba…cf3fbacked Under | 76c | 39.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 42c | 25.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 76c | 23.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 79c | 22.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 76c | 15.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. UtahGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.