TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33a8…7399

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Alina Charaevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Istanbul 2: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Xinyu Gaobacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$24.2
Bunschoten: Hynek Barton vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$17.23
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Dalma Galfibacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$40.28
Athens Open: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.43
Athens Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.58
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.76
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.02
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.64
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.5
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Noskova/Sramkova vs Piter/Siskovabacked Noskova/Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.19
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.46
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belinda Bencic vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$24.67
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Karolina Muchova vs. Barbora Krejcikova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+115%+$16.11
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$32.67
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$53.56
Switzerland to score first vs. Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.83
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.58
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+98%+$12.55
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.15
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.34
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.69
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.96
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.