TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed No54c36,353$19,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,6105257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c15,620$6,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,602.471,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes46c14,151$6,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,641.382759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes45c11,182$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,181.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Yes46c10,866$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,865.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes73c9,120$6,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.819657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c8,195$3,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,836.711,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c7,450$4,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.2352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c5,989$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.8662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes42c5,000$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.971764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No55c3,643$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.659458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes41c3,426$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.938435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes45c3,200$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.510521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c3,120$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.8223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No54c2,975$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.5630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c2,879$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.4287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No55c2,820$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.413745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No47c2,295$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.1933145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No54c2,222$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.52933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.912951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x635e…0438backed Yes47c1,840$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.21850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf72…6378backed Yes28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No1c1,786$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.861338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes72c1,778$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.762360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes46c1,543$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No23c1,515$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes46c1,370$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No55c1,273$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No54c1,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6758143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No58c1,200$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003080%24 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes69c1,198$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.471154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.962766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.963850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No39c1,050$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.416443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes26c1,023$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.82045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes27c999.97$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.984431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Yes73c986.3$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes47c985.11$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.113540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes46c942.66$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.422846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Yes31c895.83$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.831060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes46c834.93$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.715651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc733…3805backed Yes29c827.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes65c718.31$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.126943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes72c694.44$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.552445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No55c608.07$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.442466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes59c602.62$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5815071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No30c596.07$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.332748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Yes71c570$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes72c543.06$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.061457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No54c516.81$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9726354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8768…8b58backed No28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes60c455.19$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.232638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes70c447.37$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2926046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No30c421.69$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes46c407$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.783655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes66c384.19$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.425846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b5c…e5aabacked Yes28c341.43$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No30c337.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes37c336$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.892744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Yes27c333.29$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa395…3eddbacked No31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No54c309.38$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5812738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No54c299.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9916448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes27c293.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.077632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes71c267.61$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No38c267.42$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.511258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes72c259.79$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x214c…a990backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No54c240$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.341250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc976…f670backed Yes52c232.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Yes25c228.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes46c219.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+49%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b46…b8ecbacked Yes75c218.88$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…3e6abacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes46c206.52$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c202.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2638056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+38.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7d…2669backed No54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9912039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No26c193$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.188644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c182.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0946450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c180$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8718155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes43c169.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2412238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Yes46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes36c148.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.131050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No32c136.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0293…6cf3backed Yes44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No68c136.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No55c134.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.227149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.