MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec30997e1236395c2a250e7f0d4063f8e5fa0222afa1bf702975d18106db70f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Miami Marlins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $777,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $800,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 204,341$97,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,694.95 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 52c | 179,818$93,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,250.39 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed New York Mets | 52c | 166,673$86,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,002.95 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 89,001$42,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,720.41 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets | 52c | 34,697$18,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,544.5 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 28,008$10,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,901.14 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 24,851$8,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,380.57 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 22,941$9,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,037.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 20,700$9,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,936 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 17,660$7,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,153.13 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 17,478$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked New York Mets | 65c | 15,252$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.68 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 52c | 14,069$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.95 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 52c | 13,462$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,461.54 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 13,173$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.58 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New York Mets | 59c | 12,910$7,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,288.48 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacde…54c6backed New York Mets | 58c | 12,007$6,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked New York Mets | 52c | 11,640$6,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,587.2 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 10,704$5,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 10,416$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed New York Mets | 52c | 9,073$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.69 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 8,360$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 60c | 7,426$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed New York Mets | 52c | 7,285$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.67 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 6,450$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 6,145$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.6 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 5,509$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 5,302$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 49c | 5,094$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.61 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 53c | 4,939$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.1 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 4,761$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.89 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 4,654$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 64c | 4,399$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.42 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,636$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.28 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 3,225$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.06 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,020$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 2,776$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,479$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.14 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 2,391$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 2,353$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.77 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,081$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.07 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Mets | 52c | 2,040$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.34 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 52c | 2,000$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 1,924$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,572$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.2 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,545$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.98 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,452$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.29 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,425$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.5 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 1,400$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 1,300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,207$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.85 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,207$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.36 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Mets | 60c | 1,206$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.87 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked New York Mets | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,160$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.79 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 1,105$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,063$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,052$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.38 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 1,036$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,027$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.46 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.89 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…92adbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets | 51c | 999.95$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed New York Mets | 63c | 952.69$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.69 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 945.5$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.74 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 865.29$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.34 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 52c | 853.98$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.91 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…5124backed New York Mets | 52c | 840.6$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 833.9$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 64c | 814.83$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.09 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 779.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked New York Mets | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 733.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 710.2$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 697.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 688$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.55 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 686.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 680$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 660$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +181%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 660$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 659.22$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Mets | 49c | 628.81$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 55c | 626.62$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 606$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 15.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 16.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.