MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51978b09f6627c1b9d73d8113f3e7466f7dc5dc8f0cbbb49250dcab67a1c30f2

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $108,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $107,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,050 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	49c	47,173$23,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,162.49	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	49c	43,534$21,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,063.95	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	49c	11,824$5,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,084.42	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under	53c	9,000$4,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,769.99	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over	50c	6,011$3,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,997.57	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	50c	5,741$2,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,852.02	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	52c	5,647$2,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,936.48	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	48c	5,208$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,708.33	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	49c	5,103$2,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,612.22	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	49c	4,911$2,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,515.32	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	49c	3,087$1,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,574.22	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	447	49.2%220 W · 227 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.98	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	48c	2,627$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.47	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under	52c	2,500$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	2,389$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.2	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	241	50.6%122 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	52c	2,000$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under	54c	1,389$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	50c	1,281$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.77	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	47c	1,244$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.63	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	54c	1,085$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.21	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	53c	1,050$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.5	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-4.4wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	986.87$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.17	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc75d…8fd4backed Under	54c	732.46$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.53	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over	48c	690.13$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.74	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under	52c	646.55$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.21	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under	51c	559$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.09	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Under	50c	530$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.32	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over	46c	499.93$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.96	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	50c	476.53$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.9	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over	47c	473.55$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.98	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	50c	438.51$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.05	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	51c	408.36$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.23	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Under	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	183	56.8%104 W · 79 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	51c	299.99$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.2	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over	49c	231$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.81	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	382	52.1%199 W · 183 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9783…dccabacked Under	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee6b…accbbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over	49c	192.2$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.02	198	42.9%85 W · 113 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	47c	181$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.93	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	49c	153.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	399	48.1%192 W · 207 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	50c	150.1$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.05	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Under	54c	148.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	665	51.1%340 W · 325 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	16c	129$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	51c	120$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.4	619	48.6%301 W · 318 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e4…53bbbacked Under	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+5.8wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	50c	113.82$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.59	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over	50c	102.2$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.18	401	48.1%193 W · 208 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over	50c	100.57$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.01	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	147	59.9%88 W · 59 L	+14.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	48c	99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.48	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	52c	96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	781	55.6%434 W · 347 L	+28.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	47c	95.74$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.74	443	48.5%215 W · 228 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under	52c	87$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.54	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Under	54c	78.97$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.64	145	55.9%81 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	42c	72.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	247	42.9%106 W · 141 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6e…d6debacked Under	54c	65.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.46	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over	46c	63$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	258	50.4%130 W · 128 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Under	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	326	47.9%156 W · 170 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	48c	55.08$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under	55c	53.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.26	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	556	43.9%244 W · 312 L	-38.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	165	53.3%88 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Over	49c	47.88$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.49	295	53.2%157 W · 138 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	47c	46.83$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.82	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	47c	41.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.2	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	254	48.4%123 W · 131 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	257	48.2%124 W · 133 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe604…dc02backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.9wins	-0.26per pick	52cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over	57c	36.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.49	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Under	51c	27.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	899	50.6%455 W · 444 L	-24.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Under	54c	27.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff29…f008backed Under	51c	24.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-7.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over	50c	24.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.07	586	49.5%290 W · 296 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Under	54c	24.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	50c	22.37$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	452	46.2%209 W · 243 L	-18.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	50c	22.27$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.09	524	49%257 W · 267 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over	50c	21.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.62	515	55.7%287 W · 228 L	+19.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under	52c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661a…ddc7backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Over	52c	19.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.32	107	59.8%64 W · 43 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 15.5Over won
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 16.5Under won
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event