NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x309e01ff8af6848e2f7e078bf969614d812673f5babde4bdb2fca1ac909d686e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,159,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,205,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,159,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 786 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lightning | 60c | 235,488$141,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,292.57 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Canadiens | 40c | 110,732$44,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,439.12 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Canadiens | 40c | 80,023$32,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,813.24 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Lightning | 60c | 68,470$41,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,082 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lightning | 60c | 60,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lightning | 39c | 52,634$20,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,537.1 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lightning | 3c | 49,477$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.88 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Canadiens | 57c | 42,204$24,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,093.67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens | 40c | 37,868$15,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,720.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Lightning | 58c | 33,849$19,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,632.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Canadiens | 61c | 31,200$19,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,168 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 43c | 30,906$13,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,679.62 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Lightning | 61c | 28,742$17,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,531.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 41c | 24,101$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,101.31 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 39c | 22,000$8,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,319.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lightning | 59c | 21,761$12,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,838.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Canadiens | 61c | 20,280$12,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,909.2 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lightning | 59c | 17,999$10,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,619.43 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Canadiens | 41c | 17,293$7,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,202.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 40c | 16,565$6,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,938.96 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 40c | 15,632$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,392.37 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lightning | 4c | 15,463$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.35 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Canadiens | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Canadiens | 40c | 14,507$5,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,674.23 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lightning | 59c | 14,407$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lightning | 59c | 14,395$8,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,480.89 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 40c | 13,352$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,011.28 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Canadiens | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.93 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Canadiens | 49c | 12,394$6,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,274.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Canadiens | 40c | 11,764$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.52 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Lightning | 61c | 11,331$6,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,911.55 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Canadiens | 41c | 10,732$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.71 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lightning | 59c | 10,593$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed Lightning | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Canadiens | 42c | 10,000$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lightning | 60c | 9,833$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 57c | 9,572$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.16 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Canadiens | 39c | 8,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Canadiens | 40c | 7,300$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Canadiens | 40c | 6,590$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Canadiens | 40c | 5,620$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Lightning | 60c | 5,597$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Canadiens | 61c | 5,501$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.57 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lightning | 59c | 5,084$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.55 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Lightning | 40c | 5,041$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c23…0c74backed Canadiens | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 47c | 4,657$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.94 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Canadiens | 43c | 4,653$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.02 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Canadiens | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Canadiens | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Canadiens | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.54 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Lightning | 28c | 3,583$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.93 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 60c | 3,568$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Canadiens | 41c | 3,439$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.02 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Canadiens | 41c | 3,326$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.15 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…20cfbacked Canadiens | 40c | 3,250$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Lightning | 46c | 3,107$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 40c | 3,000$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.02 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Canadiens | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Canadiens | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Canadiens | 41c | 2,921$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.39 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Canadiens | 41c | 2,444$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens | 45c | 2,435$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.07 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Canadiens | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Lightning | 30c | 2,335$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Canadiens | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.18 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Canadiens | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Canadiens | 40c | 2,240$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.01 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Lightning | 39c | 2,226$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Canadiens | 41c | 2,018$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.97 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Canadiens | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Canadiens | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Lightning | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Lightning | 38c | 1,937$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Lightning | 30c | 1,776$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.5 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Canadiens | 43c | 1,725$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.01 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Lightning | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,674$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.42 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,670$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Canadiens | 61c | 1,578$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.73 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Canadiens | 41c | 1,532$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Canadiens | 39c | 1,520$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Canadiens | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,452$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.04 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lightning | 48c | 1,409$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.44 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Lightning | 61c | 1,357$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.04 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Canadiens | 68c | 1,326$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.92 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Lightning | 60c | 1,290$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Lightning | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 44c | 1,261$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.12 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lightning | 59c | 1,200$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.73 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lightning | 42c | 1,131$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.06 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Canadiens | 41c | 1,111$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Lightning | 35c | 1,087$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.61 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Lightning | 48c | 1,063$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4b38backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,026$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Lightning | 59c | 1,020$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightningthis page
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.