NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a183a5d787c77176356862739b9f78cbf5a33f35e7de2a588cf2318e150d04a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 34c | 2,660$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 66c | 2,550$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.23 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over | 65c | 2,337$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Under | 44c | 1,776$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 53c | 1,706$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.66 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 1,598$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.03 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 35c | 1,396$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.39 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Over | 44c | 1,368$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.51 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 66c | 1,260$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.85 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Under | 35c | 1,083$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.54 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 37c | 984.11$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 909.9$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.69 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 35c | 873.57$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 34c | 784.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.42 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 620.63$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.49 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Under | 34c | 538.23$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 34c | 510.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.78 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 499.95$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.98 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Under | 32c | 497.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Over | 68c | 441.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Under | 75c | 398.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 47c | 392.72$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…a2d5backed Under | 52c | 390.81$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 49c | 367.35$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 62c | 364.77$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 51c | 311.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Under | 67c | 246.67$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Under | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Under | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 35c | 212.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 33c | 205.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Under | 75c | 201.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…8a6abacked Over | 60c | 199.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 199.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 30c | 185.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…37d4backed Under | 41c | 184.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 57c | 159.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 157$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 33c | 155$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Over | 59c | 154.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 66c | 146$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 49c | 145.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 67c | 141.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 42c | 115.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 51c | 110.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…0e61backed Over | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 60c | 106.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 66c | 105.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Under | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 98.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Under | 38c | 91.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 90.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Over | 68c | 73.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 39c | 72.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…08f9backed Under | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 52c | 68.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 66c | 59.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 54c | 59.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c78…e701backed Over | 66c | 56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 52c | 54.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…517abacked Over | 42c | 47.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 47.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 47.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…77f8backed Under | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 48c | 44.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Over | 46c | 42.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Over | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…4e69backed Under | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 40.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…9d17backed Over | 40c | 39.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…5bedbacked Under | 78c | 38.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ba…cf3fbacked Under | 53c | 37.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 66c | 33.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 37c | 33.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 34c | 31.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 66c | 30.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…bab7backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…be63backed Under | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 44c | 29.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 58c | 26.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 60c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 60c | 23.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5this page
- Canadiens vs. LightningCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.