NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fc9448b9d0240f40de53e0f6ce349ae66654b6e078363f08504effbc9058d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $666,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 42c | 482,641$202,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,111.21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 185,868$107,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,064.57 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Under | 58c | 128,041$74,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,777.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Under | 67c | 51,875$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,874.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 59c | 49,746$29,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,208.67 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Over | 40c | 35,326$14,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,234.45 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Under | 58c | 30,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,499.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Under | 58c | 27,000$15,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Under | 60c | 15,000$9,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 59c | 13,051$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,350.9 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 40c | 12,965$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.94 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 62c | 12,655$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.88 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 60c | 6,941$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.56 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 39c | 6,520$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.8 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 68c | 4,756$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 58c | 4,620$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.29 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 58c | 4,175$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.22 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Over | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 3,079$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 2,683$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.7 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Under | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 42c | 2,382$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Under | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Under | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 59c | 1,555$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.55 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 59c | 1,534$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.19 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 58c | 1,452$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.93 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 60c | 1,331$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.37 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Over | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 27cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 61c | 1,111$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.29 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 11c | 960$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 58c | 944.62$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.74 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 12c | 868.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 41c | 846.59$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 59c | 823$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.43 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Over | 39c | 753.88$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.01 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Over | 39c | 630.75$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Over | 7c | 603$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 61c | 599.97$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 10c | 547.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 539.62$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 36c | 497.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.68 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 59c | 487.8$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 20c | 454.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 42c | 409.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 63c | 396.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 59c | 389.83$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 12c | 366$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Under | 61c | 363.54$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Under | 63c | 318.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 13c | 302.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Under | 60c | 273.89$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 62c | 271.09$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 41c | 256.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 42c | 240.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 68c | 225$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 58c | 217.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +15.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Over | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 167.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 27c | 164.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 60c | 158.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Under | 58c | 157.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 37c | 157.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 61c | 119.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 62c | 119.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 38c | 108.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 59c | 103$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 59c | 100.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Over | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Over | 41c | 90.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Under | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 84.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…885cbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 39c | 81.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 59c | 81.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. LightningCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.