TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$666,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over42c482,641$202,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,111.211822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c185,868$107,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,064.5713841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Under58c128,041$74,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,777.232147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Under67c51,875$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,874.753253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under59c49,746$29,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,208.6728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Over40c35,326$14,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,234.4516442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Under58c30,000$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,499.996940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed Under58c27,000$15,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,340250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Under60c15,000$9,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under59c13,051$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,350.951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over40c12,965$5,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,121.9433151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under62c12,655$7,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,784.8840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1004841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under60c6,941$4,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.5615054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over39c6,520$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.818641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under68c4,756$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.793,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under58c4,620$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.2910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under58c4,175$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.2210049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Over39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5602343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c3,079$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.792,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17013049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2606841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c2,683$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82516546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Under60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over42c2,382$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.554141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68022250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Under70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Under59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under59c1,555$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under59c1,534$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.195364.2%34 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under58c1,452$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.9315448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under60c1,331$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.379757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5071145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under58c1,293$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.110663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Over8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick27cpaid+110.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under61c1,111$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.2991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9511045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over11c960$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.43030%9 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under58c944.62$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.7483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over12c868.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3180%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over41c846.59$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under59c823$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4320756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Over39c753.88$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.015749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Over39c630.75$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Over7c603$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.21372.7%1 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-54.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24626154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under61c599.97$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.999260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over10c547.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9517247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c539.62$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2914254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over36c497.97$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.686434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under59c487.8$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over20c454.24$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5941842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over42c409.52$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1727236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16810346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under63c396.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9829551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under59c389.83$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.835052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over12c366$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.921,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under61c363.54$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.784355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Under59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.986847.1%32 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.339760.8%59 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Under63c318.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Over13c302.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9760%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under69c299.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5411061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997925.3%20 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under62c274.19$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Under60c273.89$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under62c271.09$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0112859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over41c256.1$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10548552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over42c240.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9962447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under68c225$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.711,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under58c217.35$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2920350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8223665.7%155 W · 81 L+15.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Over38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.442759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under60c167.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.371,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over27c164.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.921,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under60c158.21$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.283351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Under58c157.77$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over37c157.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5766552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under61c119.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.821155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under62c119.76$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.515455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over38c108.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.386549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under59c103$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2331848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under59c100.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.264477.3%34 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4097955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4039751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.331148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c3…c2e6backed Over39c92.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Over41c90.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-61.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Under70c85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over23c84.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7865721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1783…885cbacked Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over39c81.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.699038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under59c81.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.274158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.