Golf · resolved market

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2355d0c475f322d8f885998347a412a103af24c54092ab894f2ba4364a4e9521

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,196 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa43a…aa76backed Yes	32c	29,776$9,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,593.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No	61c	13,081$7,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,137.68	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	73c	11,005$8,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,920.05	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…d302backed No	74c	8,168$6,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,123.68	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Yes	26c	1,918$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.52	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba1f…11c3backed Yes	24c	299.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Yes	24c	276.95$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No	76c	203.44$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.83	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No	71c	185.08$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.22	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	79c	134.07$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.87	55	65.5%36 W · 19 L	+10.8wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+123.7%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x55ff…947dbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4263…930bbacked Yes	28c	85.43$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No	78c	78.39$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.35	268	39.9%107 W · 161 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No	75c	75.18$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.58	69	58%40 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49db…e232backed Yes	48c	60.5$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.06	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No	73c	59.68$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.83	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes	17c	59.6$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-56%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed No	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked No	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	52c	42.45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b7…ece2backed Yes	31c	40.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	70c	25.45$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.63	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No	45c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.75	102	68.6%70 W · 32 L	+14.0wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	72c	23.8$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	254	49.2%125 W · 129 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No	74c	23.45$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.15	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No	75c	22.8$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.7	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.3wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No	72c	16.61$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.65	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa361…3ea7backed No	75c	14.79$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.7	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event