TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97b7…ece2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Kayshon Boutte: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$78.67
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,233.3%+$246.67
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$122.5
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.98
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.9
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.15
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.15
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+103.2%+$41.87
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$17.11
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.83
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.64
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$33.27
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.93
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.77
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Senators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$118.86
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$10.84
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.12
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.43
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.57
Braves vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.54
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.17
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$36.06
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.14
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.68
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.88
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.24
The Masters 2026: Rory McIlroy vs. Scottie Schefflerbacked Scheffler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
The Masters 2026: Hole in One?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick22cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+137.9%+$55.16
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$18.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$11.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.