Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d083abb24276e7cbece1b545a98c8abff7da8788904cb951d777d74ac480207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Team Nemesis, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Nemesis | 1c | 50,466$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.09 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed REKONIX | 49c | 8,497$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.17 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 6,753$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.72 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 3,040$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.59 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 2,760$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 1,471$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.38 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed REKONIX | 51c | 1,467$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.97 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed REKONIX | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed REKONIX | 50c | 1,050$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.14 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Nemesis | 4c | 964.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 801.11$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.26 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 778.58$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.22 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 770$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 678.79$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 541.73$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.61 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 80c | 537.18$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 501.19$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.59 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 482.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…9e72backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 437.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX | 77c | 400.65$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…f347backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 393.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 302.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REKONIX | 42c | 289.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed REKONIX | 51c | 286.71$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…a6d5backed REKONIX | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 234.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Nemesis | 10c | 225.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 219.19$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked REKONIX | 53c | 150.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 70c | 138.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 124$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 118.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked REKONIX | 52c | 116.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 113.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed REKONIX | 74c | 106.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 106.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 103.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 100.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 96.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 80.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed REKONIX | 51c | 71.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 70.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…35b9backed REKONIX | 68c | 57.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX | 51c | 56.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked REKONIX | 75c | 49.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked REKONIX | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 38.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…e03dbacked REKONIX | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked REKONIX | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 304 | 43.8%133 W · 171 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed REKONIX | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 24.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed REKONIX | 51c | 22.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.