Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23ef9ec570f66bfb0b0a334d6a733cb9eaf7c9d7ebe1295ef11df1126e9ec12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed REKONIX | 47c | 12,396$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,878.62 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked REKONIX | 18c | 6,730$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.53 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 3,650$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.03 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 3,302$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.38 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 2,918$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2539…1f2cbacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 2,430$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 2,407$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.59 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 1,835$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed REKONIX | 52c | 1,829$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.01 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 1,608$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.85 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Nemesis | 79c | 1,484$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 1,421$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.05 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,325$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 1,045$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed REKONIX | 45c | 945.13$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.89 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 584.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.54 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 578.88$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 509.44$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 504.04$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.83 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 49c | 503.61$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed REKONIX | 58c | 484.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.39 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 407.13$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed REKONIX | 30c | 392.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked REKONIX | 15c | 345.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed REKONIX | 45c | 331.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 318.92$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 286.85$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed REKONIX | 42c | 228.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked REKONIX | 46c | 227.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 212.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed REKONIX | 57c | 210.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked REKONIX | 57c | 203.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed REKONIX | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 46c | 196.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 33c | 184$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed REKONIX | 39c | 173$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 172.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed REKONIX | 61c | 160.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 144.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 36c | 143.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed REKONIX | 42c | 138.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 18c | 138.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 133.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed REKONIX | 26c | 127.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked REKONIX | 55c | 116.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed REKONIX | 29c | 116.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX | 59c | 115.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 115.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 47c | 114.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed REKONIX | 30c | 105.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 28c | 100.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed REKONIX | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed REKONIX | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 98.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 98.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked REKONIX | 33c | 91.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…35b9backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 87.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…de06backed REKONIX | 46c | 86.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 84.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked REKONIX | 39c | 80.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed REKONIX | 48c | 80.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 180 | 42.8%77 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 76.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…1fbfbacked REKONIX | 60c | 61.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 41c | 60.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked REKONIX | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…6dd8backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 58.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked REKONIX | 49c | 55.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed REKONIX | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…dd4dbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed REKONIX | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…e03dbacked REKONIX | 39c | 44.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed REKONIX | 49c | 43.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed REKONIX | 48c | 41.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 36.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…dc4ebacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked REKONIX | 42c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 47c | 26.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 26.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 25.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…19eebacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 25.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…5614backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 23.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.