MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdca56969ed806810c5dfc33e13c4c20f5096e6a96a8fe9375b136501146a8a6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 667 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 44c | 84,914$37,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,421.37 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 56c | 32,557$18,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,325.23 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Brewers | 56c | 26,968$15,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,879.53 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 44c | 18,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.98 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 43c | 12,476$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.64 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 56c | 10,378$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.14 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers | 56c | 10,000$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.11 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 56c | 8,219$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.14 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Reds | 44c | 6,009$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.96 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 55c | 5,550$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.57 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Reds | 43c | 5,021$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 38c | 4,175$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.96 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Brewers | 57c | 3,836$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Brewers | 56c | 3,578$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.37 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 74c | 2,726$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.31 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 49c | 2,712$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.7 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Brewers | 52c | 2,259$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.86 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Reds | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers | 56c | 2,038$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.71 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Brewers | 55c | 2,010$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.7 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Reds | 44c | 1,986$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Brewers | 60c | 1,967$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Reds | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.78 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…c621backed Reds | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers | 56c | 1,754$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.63 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.14 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 53c | 1,565$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.48 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 36c | 1,480$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.5 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Brewers | 48c | 1,440$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.58 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Reds | 34c | 1,222$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.1 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…3431backed Reds | 41c | 1,171$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Brewers | 55c | 1,154$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.29 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 45c | 1,140$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…bf8bbacked Reds | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Brewers | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.92 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…d210backed Brewers | 56c | 1,068$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 56c | 983.54$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.81 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…8df2backed Brewers | 56c | 982$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Reds | 39c | 968.96$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.39 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Brewers | 56c | 959$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.96 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 55c | 954.69$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.87 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Brewers | 56c | 915$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Reds | 44c | 915$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Brewers | 35c | 914.74$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.74 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…5161backed Reds | 44c | 914$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…79d5backed Brewers | 56c | 904$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…a9eebacked Brewers | 56c | 896$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Brewers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Reds | 17c | 858.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 55c | 786.69$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.01 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 53c | 740.24$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.72 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Brewers | 55c | 705$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 45c | 693.73$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.18 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 38c | 688.38$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Reds | 44c | 683$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Brewers | 18c | 676$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.5 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 57c | 670.98$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Reds | 44c | 609$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Brewers | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b5…0e50backed Brewers | 59c | 594$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…6b29backed Brewers | 59c | 576$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 57c | 574$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.82 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 56c | 570$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 44c | 567.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Brewers | 60c | 542.8$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Brewers | 60c | 535.35$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Brewers | 57c | 528.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Brewers | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Reds | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Reds | 43c | 499.92$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.97 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Reds | 44c | 473.08$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Brewers | 36c | 465.28$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.91 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 39c | 445$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.6 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Brewers | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 65c | 430.21$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.39 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 37c | 411.71$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.44 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Reds | 45c | 388.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.83 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Brewers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 56c | 357.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 36c | 349.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 58c | 346.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Brewers | 56c | 343.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 18c | 343.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.56 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Brewers | 57c | 334.49$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 46c | 316.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 58c | 310.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.68 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 41c | 300.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Reds | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Reds | 44c | 297.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers | 65c | 296$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.