MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293e3e1eb42cb6b762eda2a0dfd2461743bf4cfcf8308313c86ccdc56c085e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Astros, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Marlins | 51c | 58,349$29,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,417.64 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Astros | 49c | 39,799$19,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,501.45 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Astros | 25c | 22,921$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,667.78 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 51c | 19,712$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 75c | 19,029$14,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 75c | 14,620$10,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.37 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 51c | 14,183$7,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960.34 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 48c | 6,866$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.59 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 51c | 6,666$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.34 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 48c | 6,482$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.28 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 47c | 5,928$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.07 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Astros | 19c | 5,471$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 51c | 4,503$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 51c | 4,444$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Astros | 30c | 3,720$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.24 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 51c | 3,614$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 50c | 3,136$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.75 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Astros | 15c | 2,706$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 21c | 2,386$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 42c | 2,380$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.65 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Marlins | 67c | 1,786$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 49c | 1,520$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 50c | 1,482$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.28 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.84 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Astros | 51c | 1,147$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.74 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 9c | 1,127$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Astros | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Astros | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.81 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Marlins | 52c | 1,000$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 25c | 988.29$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.92 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 18c | 920.52$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Marlins | 75c | 823.79$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Astros | 19c | 815.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 49c | 811.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.32 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 49c | 710$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.65 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Marlins | 79c | 686.32$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 35c | 673.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Marlins | 48c | 648.86$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.41 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Marlins | 55c | 580.43$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.16 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Astros | 54c | 555.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 76c | 539.33$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Marlins | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Astros | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 49c | 429.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 78c | 422.57$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Astros | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Astros | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 45c | 400$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 48c | 388.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.01 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Astros | 15c | 349.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Marlins | 80c | 332.83$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Marlins | 53c | 323.04$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins | 48c | 315$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Marlins | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Astros | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Astros | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Astros | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…eaf1backed Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Marlins | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 34c | 290.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Marlins | 77c | 286.85$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 49c | 265$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 74c | 260.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 16c | 256.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 72c | 255.08$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Astros | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Marlins | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Marlins | 78c | 248.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Marlins | 48c | 232.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Marlins | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…3d3cbacked Astros | 26c | 227.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Marlins | 76c | 218.81$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 48c | 214.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Marlins | 68c | 214.61$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Marlins | 50c | 209.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 49c | 203$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Astros | 15c | 197.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marlins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Astros | 50c | 181.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 51c | 174$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Marlins | 48c | 172.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…918fbacked Marlins | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Astros | 48c | 165.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Marlins | 79c | 159.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 52c | 155.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Marlins | 79c | 154.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Astros | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.