NFL · resolved market
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a1ca12713d914386fe7da7fe705f375f9d9761910c727c22d5050af54939f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Cowboys, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,200,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,203,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,200,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Vikings | 52c | 970,245$505,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464,488.64 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Cowboys | 48c | 450,000$216,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216,000 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cowboys | 48c | 313,320$150,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,390.28 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cowboys | 48c | 105,122$50,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,205.75 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Vikings | 52c | 30,057$15,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,427.33 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Cowboys | 48c | 29,529$14,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,092.75 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Vikings | 51c | 24,001$12,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,760.72 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…194dbacked Cowboys | 48c | 20,834$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Cowboys | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Cowboys | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Vikings | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.96 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cowboys | 47c | 15,497$7,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,331.17 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Cowboys | 49c | 12,850$6,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,296.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cowboys | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cowboys | 48c | 9,757$4,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722.2 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…4c52backed Vikings | 53c | 9,576$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Cowboys | 49c | 9,519$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.34 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cowboys | 48c | 6,050$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Vikings | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cowboys | 49c | 5,621$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.29 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Vikings | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Cowboys | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cowboys | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Vikings | 53c | 4,731$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.76 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Cowboys | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cowboys | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Cowboys | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Cowboys | 48c | 2,513$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Cowboys | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cowboys | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…a5f0backed Cowboys | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Cowboys | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Cowboys | 48c | 1,350$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Vikings | 53c | 1,349$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.05 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cowboys | 47c | 1,299$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.89 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…f41ebacked Cowboys | 48c | 1,208$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Cowboys | 48c | 1,165$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.37 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cowboys | 48c | 1,039$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Cowboys | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Cowboys | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Vikings | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Vikings | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Cowboys | 48c | 918.75$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Cowboys | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Cowboys | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…c514backed Vikings | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Vikings | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Vikings | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Cowboys | 49c | 670.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vikings | 47c | 647$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.6 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cowboys | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Vikings | 53c | 622.64$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Cowboys | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Cowboys | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Cowboys | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 48c | 576.92$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Cowboys | 49c | 564.14$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.43 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Cowboys | 64c | 510$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.2 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Cowboys | 49c | 493.01$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Vikings | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Vikings | 51c | 470$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff36backed Cowboys | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed Cowboys | 49c | 409.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cowboys | 37c | 400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cowboys | 48c | 348.12$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Vikings | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Cowboys | 48c | 326$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Cowboys | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cowboys | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vikings | 41c | 290.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Vikings | 52c | 289.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Vikings | 53c | 275.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Cowboys | 48c | 262.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Cowboys | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Cowboys | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Cowboys | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cowboys | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Cowboys | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Vikings | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Vikings | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…c701backed Vikings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Vikings | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Cowboys | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Vikings | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Cowboys | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Vikings | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Cowboys | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Vikings | 49c | 121.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Vikings | 52c | 121.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Cowboys | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Cowboys | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Cowboys | 51c | 102.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…fba2backed Cowboys | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Cowboys | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Cowboys | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Cowboys | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Cowboys | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Vikings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Cowboys | 49c | 86.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…6548backed Cowboys | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Vikings won
- Vikings vs. CowboysVikings won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.