TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$343,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef54…d1eebacked Under53c88,848$47,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,069.173345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over47c85,303$40,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,115.8116955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under49c60,162$29,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,721.5424957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c49,574$24,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,481.271,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over51c48,191$24,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,835.531240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under52c36,275$18,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,823.248747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c33,092$16,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,334.3747348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d7…194dbacked Under50c28,228$14,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,158616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-63.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under42c20,699$8,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,753.4986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c17,446$8,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,810.3919152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c15,495$7,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,668.2753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Over51c11,740$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,739.9310648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c9,741$5,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.2450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…99a7backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over51c7,534$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.6211154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under50c6,241$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.162343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c6,040$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.956852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9402740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under50c5,690$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,84536246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over60c3,694$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.5231543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over49c3,265$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.1537350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over51c2,102$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.963740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0294641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98015555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Over48c1,980$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.611254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c1,330$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.377052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52011446.5%53 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…5862backed Over51c937.25$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over60c890.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c848.67$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Under53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053125.8%8 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.518744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9213652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f79…c16cbacked Over51c539.06$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.143863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under51c470.39$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.97052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22210548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19614151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b8…799cbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504734%16 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c289$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.51,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b9…9ce4backed Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Under53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c274.37$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.616349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Over51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.297058.6%41 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab8…e432backed Over53c216.24$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.241457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009138.5%35 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3d…73e7backed Under13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9815851.9%82 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10453253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa50…dc15backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085950.8%30 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over67c193.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.434944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Under52c191.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5616243.8%71 W · 91 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over47c176$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.418750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under52c147$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.442045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c127.51$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2113959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a37…ee28backed Under51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over62c120.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3615353.6%82 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under42c112.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.515952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1610461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1616360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under51c78.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.811442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over48c77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.042924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under52c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8e…d145backed Over50c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db5…a251backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under41c59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.191947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d31…295dbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under29c56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9732043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf6…0edfbacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…771bbacked Over51c41.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…e5cabacked Over50c41.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.672040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6813357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.689659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6815453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6812459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6810964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6810464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3212458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6811463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Over52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6810864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6811552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6810757.9%62 W · 45 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.