NFL · resolved market
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdd6cbb76cabe73db8ab5d07685172195ad2598be525eff39717945c1edc14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Cowboys, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Vikings | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,999.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cowboys | 45c | 52,339$23,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,459.61 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Cowboys | 45c | 28,917$13,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,099.96 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 55c | 21,840$12,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,788.89 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Cowboys | 45c | 21,664$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.64 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Cowboys | 45c | 10,534$4,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.35 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Vikings | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Vikings | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 45c | 9,951$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.82 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Vikings | 57c | 7,330$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Vikings | 55c | 6,084$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.65 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Vikings | 56c | 5,792$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.48 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Vikings | 55c | 5,094$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.41 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cowboys | 44c | 4,925$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.1 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Vikings | 56c | 2,966$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.71 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 41c | 2,280$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.8 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cowboys | 45c | 2,125$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.4 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Cowboys | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Vikings | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Cowboys | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Vikings | 55c | 1,500$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.75 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Cowboys | 45c | 1,319$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Vikings | 55c | 1,289$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.03 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed Cowboys | 42c | 1,194$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vikings | 57c | 1,128$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.64 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Cowboys | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Cowboys | 31c | 804$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Vikings | 57c | 711.74$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.57 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Cowboys | 45c | 671.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Vikings | 55c | 650$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +58%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Vikings | 55c | 602.63$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.18 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cowboys | 45c | 573.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.94 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Vikings | 53c | 495.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.02 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Vikings | 55c | 455$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.05 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Vikings | 55c | 444.44$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…8416backed Cowboys | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Vikings | 76c | 359.73$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…c194backed Vikings | 56c | 303.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cowboys | 44c | 249.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Vikings | 55c | 244.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Cowboys | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cowboys | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Cowboys | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cowboys | 57c | 209.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cowboys | 39c | 204.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cowboys | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Vikings | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cowboys | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Cowboys | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vikings | 46c | 192.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cowboys | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb773…7f73backed Cowboys | 45c | 184.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vikings | 63c | 182.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Cowboys | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Cowboys | 13c | 164.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Vikings | 78c | 152.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Vikings | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vikings | 78c | 138$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…07a2backed Cowboys | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Vikings | 56c | 112$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Cowboys | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Cowboys | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Cowboys | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Cowboys | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Vikings | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vikings | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Vikings | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…cf43backed Vikings | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Cowboys | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Cowboys | 59c | 99.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Vikings | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Vikings | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Vikings | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Vikings | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Vikings | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…9f0ebacked Cowboys | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Cowboys | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Cowboys | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Cowboys | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Vikings | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Cowboys | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Vikings | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cowboys | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…47efbacked Vikings | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7148…8fbfbacked Vikings | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…643ebacked Vikings | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cowboys | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Vikings | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Vikings | 55c | 36.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Vikings | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 53c | 34.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Cowboys | 45c | 33.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Cowboys | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vikings | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Vikings | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Vikings | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Vikings | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Vikings | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cowboys | 45c | 29.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Cowboys | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Vikings won
- Vikings vs. CowboysVikings won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.