NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a7227c6a67341f50ce07d01c7c7635fbdcacaf3e96611f9fce7ae94cecdede8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 6,878$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.72 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 2,088$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.31 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 836$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.56 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 55c | 509.09$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 274.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…f04dbacked Under | 8c | 184$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 55c | 150.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 150.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 45c | 145.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c96…3485backed Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…73e7backed Under | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 46c | 94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 54.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Over | 57c | 54.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Vikings won
- Vikings vs. CowboysVikings won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.