Olympics · resolved market
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f7b9b2054fbedf0e559eb4f3567682b5ce3ec4b17a61f4b6efa7071ffedb0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 20c | 31,464$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 27c | 30,425$8,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,133.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 23,171$16,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,202.18 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 21c | 16,529$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Yes | 25c | 16,010$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Yes | 21c | 9,306$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 68c | 8,712$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 71c | 8,594$6,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.89 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 43c | 4,336$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 22c | 4,161$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…045abacked Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 33c | 2,107$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed79…5479backed Yes | 23c | 2,050$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 2,013$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 20c | 1,670$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.3 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,613$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 67c | 1,562$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 22c | 1,550$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.49 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…e2a2backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,459$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 1,352$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.16 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…495cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,332$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…22aebacked Yes | 27c | 1,068$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 20c | 1,055$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 1,050$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.93 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 51c | 1,028$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.12 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes | 22c | 1,007$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Yes | 20c | 904.2$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Yes | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 879.13$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 877.06$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed No | 17c | 870$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 75c | 785$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…9742backed No | 80c | 780$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 72c | 771.43$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 54c | 719.78$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…d87fbacked Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 37c | 677.08$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Yes | 25c | 551.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 20c | 539.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf365…f5e3backed Yes | 29c | 534.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…80adbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…ed37backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 69c | 500$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Yes | 27c | 478.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 21c | 477.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 47c | 472.74$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…4f88backed Yes | 22c | 456.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 28c | 452.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Yes | 20c | 449.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 21c | 434.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6543…ecbabacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…778cbacked Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…0d97backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 64c | 415.19$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…7547backed No | 78c | 382.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…226cbacked Yes | 35c | 374$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…b476backed Yes | 19c | 358.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Yes | 48c | 324.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 23c | 297.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed No | 57c | 290$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 21c | 283$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92e8…21bbbacked Yes | 42c | 279.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 41c | 274.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 66c | 272.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…f1ffbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Yes | 24c | 258.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…c231backed Yes | 23c | 258.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Yes | 23c | 250.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…415fbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708b…d1e5backed Yes | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…e6c0backed Yes | 36c | 248.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d05…de5abacked Yes | 36c | 238.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 37c | 232$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked Yes | 33c | 231.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…89cdbacked Yes | 30c | 230.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…8067backed No | 78c | 219.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f5e9backed Yes | 75c | 201.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…3666backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…36adbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c3…c0dcbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…6b92backed Yes | 22c | 199.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed Yes | 23c | 198.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…f16fbacked Yes | 41c | 197.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 72c | 197.23$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed Yes | 18c | 197$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…e2ebbacked Yes | 20c | 196.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…c0cdbacked Yes | 45c | 192$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…8aa7backed Yes | 24c | 191.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 22c | 186.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 24c | 181.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Finland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.