Olympics · resolved market
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212cc6584803e23a777960c163f882466db4cb88cec4983b3b95a8b3e75815d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 73c | 71,025$51,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,278.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 80c | 27,073$21,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.04 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 21c | 19,431$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.79 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 19c | 10,965$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 79c | 7,599$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 24c | 7,221$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce57…ac5dbacked Yes | 37c | 7,138$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 67c | 6,502$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 24c | 6,470$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Yes | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 20c | 4,392$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 25c | 4,299$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Yes | 74c | 4,177$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 55c | 4,004$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 26c | 3,899$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.4 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 77c | 3,435$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 25c | 3,365$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 64c | 3,127$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.02 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 24c | 3,037$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 76c | 3,023$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.13 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 75c | 2,980$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 9c | 2,908$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…fcbfbacked Yes | 77c | 2,791$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 2,631$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.17 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 36c | 2,610$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 75c | 2,251$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.22 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 24c | 2,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 58c | 1,641$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 30c | 1,447$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.9 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed No | 3c | 1,337$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 3c | 1,290$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 79c | 1,258$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7e92backed No | 47c | 1,223$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 20c | 1,196$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 57c | 1,195$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.17 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 25c | 1,149$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.63 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 42c | 1,108$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 78c | 1,100$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 69c | 1,082$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Yes | 77c | 1,053$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 41c | 1,023$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.49 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 25c | 968.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…bd4dbacked Yes | 80c | 903.61$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 18c | 902.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Yes | 73c | 884.9$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 23c | 873.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Yes | 77c | 854.78$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 77c | 824.29$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 27c | 798.92$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 46c | 703.2$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 20c | 669.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Yes | 78c | 658.65$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Yes | 73c | 650$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 24c | 634.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 53c | 624.25$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.63 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 43c | 573.66$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.58 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…7547backed Yes | 79c | 560.23$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 78c | 537.2$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Yes | 44c | 512.4$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed No | 18c | 490$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes | 77c | 456.35$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…379abacked Yes | 58c | 444.85$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…e783backed Yes | 80c | 420$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 73c | 405.19$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed No | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…da2abacked Yes | 77c | 389.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…36adbacked Yes | 60c | 378.35$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 58c | 373.4$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Yes | 45c | 350.64$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 72c | 330$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 65c | 314$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 78c | 305$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 33c | 301.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 25c | 284.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2d…5d6cbacked Yes | 71c | 281.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 26c | 266.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked No | 20c | 266.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…f392backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…c231backed No | 27c | 250.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…194cbacked No | 43c | 250.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 47c | 249.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 80c | 247.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 51c | 222.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 41c | 212.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 78c | 203.09$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…75ecbacked No | 21c | 199.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…26fbbacked No | 24c | 187.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Yes | 74c | 187$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…1105backed No | 21c | 178.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…440cbacked Yes | 59c | 178$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 38c | 174.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed No | 23c | 174.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6a…7e49backed Yes | 79c | 172.42$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 24c | 172.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Yes | 59c | 170.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Finland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.