TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x374a…c231

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Olympics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,238%+$1,106.75
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.63
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.57
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.67
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.52
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.91
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.37
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.53
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+276.4%+$69.29
Will Simu Liu score in the 2026 Celebrity All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.26
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick5cpaid-35.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+546.3%+$131.63
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.71
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.25
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.61
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.66
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.82
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+246.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+3,018.4%+$759.39
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will USA win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italybacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.55
Will Cuba win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italybacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Panama win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+76.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$16.97
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,313.5%+$310.78
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Barriosbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.98
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-77.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+51.3%+$10.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+34%+$3.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.